ZLModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
+1.1%
Next 1 month
+2.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +11.9% median,
62% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 9
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.12%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.02 +2.6% · Seasonal tilt (8y) +0.1%
$25M/day volume
51% volatility
-13% 1-year
52-week range · 53% of the way up · -20% from the high
$15.96$27.50
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.56.
1-day std dev
7.8%
Finished up
44%
Biggest pop
+26.8%
Biggest drop
-12.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 34 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | -0.68 | -0.46 | +32.3% | +3.7% | +13.7% | +41.7% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -0.53 | -0.46 | +12.6% | -2.3% | -5.9% | -3.2% |
| 2026-02-26 | miss | -0.42 | -0.46 | -8.4% | -3.0% | +1.5% | -0.5% |
| 2025-11-06 | miss | -0.29 | -0.33 | -12.9% | -6.6% | -6.7% | -12.4% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | -0.42 | -0.37 | +10.8% | -11.0% | -12.0% | -9.8% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | -0.55 | -0.45 | +18.2% | +0.2% | +2.8% | +1.4% |
| 2025-02-27 | miss | -0.63 | -0.80 | -26.3% | -1.4% | -2.0% | +0.9% |
| 2024-11-12 | beat | -0.78 | -0.42 | +46.3% | -1.8% | -6.9% | -15.9% |
| 2024-08-06 | miss | -0.73 | -0.82 | -12.0% | +13.2% | -8.1% | -10.3% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | -0.92 | -0.55 | +40.5% | +21.0% | +26.8% | +20.3% |
| 2024-02-27 | miss | -0.87 | -0.98 | -12.5% | -3.1% | -7.5% | -12.0% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | -1.03 | -0.71 | +31.0% | +8.3% | +6.0% | -2.2% |
| 2023-08-07 | miss | -0.81 | -1.25 | -54.7% | -4.7% | -8.6% | -7.3% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | -0.97 | -0.51 | +47.4% | +4.9% | +6.1% | -5.3% |
| 2023-03-01 | beat | -1.11 | -0.65 | +41.4% | -9.2% | -8.5% | -15.0% |
| 2022-11-09 | miss | -1.25 | -1.68 | -34.5% | +12.0% | +6.4% | +24.4% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | -1.07 | -1.44 | -34.0% | -5.0% | -1.1% | -3.7% |
| 2022-05-10 | beat | -1.23 | -0.86 | +30.0% | +14.3% | -4.6% | +31.5% |
| 2022-03-01 | miss | -1.31 | -2.24 | -70.9% | -3.1% | +0.0% | -25.7% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | -1.27 | -1.01 | +20.3% | +1.1% | +1.3% | +4.6% |
| 2021-11-08 | miss | -0.40 | -0.53 | -33.1% | +0.8% | -0.6% | +4.4% |
| 2021-08-09 | miss | -1.39 | -1.76 | -26.4% | +0.4% | -2.8% | -8.9% |
| 2021-05-10 | miss | -2.30 | -2.64 | -14.8% | -0.6% | -5.5% | -2.6% |
| 2021-05-09 | beat | -0.99 | -0.41 | +58.6% | -4.1% | +0.4% | +5.4% |
| 2021-03-01 | miss | -0.40 | -0.55 | -38.1% | +1.0% | +9.8% | -13.5% |
| 2020-08-13 | beat | -0.99 | -0.67 | +32.3% | +4.0% | +2.1% | +0.4% |
| 2020-03-19 | miss | -0.60 | -0.68 | -14.2% | +3.4% | +2.0% | +8.1% |
| 2020-01-21 | miss | -0.63 | -0.98 | -55.7% | -0.7% | -7.0% | +4.6% |
| 2019-09-03 | beat | -0.67 | -0.43 | +36.0% | -0.2% | -0.2% | +7.0% |
| 2019-03-28 | miss | -0.23 | -0.25 | -9.5% | +0.7% | +6.4% | +13.5% |
| 2019-03-07 | miss | -0.45 | -0.68 | -51.2% | +0.2% | +2.5% | +1.7% |
| 2018-09-05 | beat | -0.38 | -0.26 | +32.0% | -5.8% | -11.0% | -11.6% |
| 2018-08-29 | beat | -0.28 | -0.26 | +8.0% | +0.1% | +3.2% | -21.6% |
| 2018-04-30 | miss | -0.17 | -0.25 | -48.5% | -0.1% | -5.6% | -8.2% |
Not investment advice.
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