ABM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | -0.5% | 8.4% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -1.4% | -1.3% | 4.0% | 35% |
| Day 3 | -1.8% | -1.9% | 2.4% | 10% |
| 5-day | -4.8% | -6.5% | 8.3% | 32% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 beat | 1.01 | 1.04 | +2.6% | -2.6% | +7.5% | — | — |
| 2026-06-05 beat | 0.88 | 0.90 | +2.4% | +4.7% | +6.7% | +8.0% | +4.4% |
| 2026-03-10 miss | 0.87 | 0.83 | -4.8% | -3.4% | -4.6% | -7.6% | -4.4% |
| 2025-12-17 miss | 1.09 | 0.88 | -19.0% | +4.5% | +5.5% | -12.6% | -5.8% |
| 2025-09-05 miss | 0.95 | 0.82 | -13.6% | -0.7% | +0.3% | -5.1% | -4.2% |
| 2025-06-06 miss | 0.86 | 0.86 | -0.0% | -5.5% | -9.1% | -3.6% | +4.8% |
| 2025-03-12 beat | 0.78 | 0.87 | +11.4% | +4.4% | -8.7% | +3.8% | -2.5% |
| 2024-12-18 beat | 0.87 | 0.90 | +3.3% | -9.4% | -8.4% | +2.1% | +5.3% |
| 2024-09-06 beat | 0.85 | 0.94 | +10.8% | +6.6% | -8.6% | +0.6% | +1.9% |
| 2024-06-06 beat | 0.79 | 0.87 | +9.8% | +2.6% | +1.3% | +4.3% | +1.2% |
| 2024-03-07 beat | 0.71 | 0.86 | +20.4% | +7.8% | +6.3% | -3.8% | +2.0% |
| 2023-12-13 beat | 0.92 | 1.01 | +9.4% | +8.9% | +17.9% | -13.2% | -20.9% |
| 2023-09-07 miss | 0.89 | 0.79 | -10.8% | -9.7% | -13.6% | +7.1% | +6.7% |
| 2023-06-06 beat | 0.86 | 0.90 | +4.5% | +1.4% | +7.1% | -9.9% | -14.3% |
| 2023-03-08 beat | 0.77 | 0.79 | +3.2% | +0.9% | -0.8% | -6.8% | -7.7% |
| 2022-12-13 beat | 0.88 | 0.89 | +0.8% | -7.1% | -3.1% | +3.5% | +3.3% |
| 2022-09-09 beat | 0.90 | 0.94 | +3.9% | +2.5% | -0.1% | -12.8% | -10.5% |
| 2022-06-08 beat | 0.84 | 0.89 | +5.5% | -5.1% | -11.7% | -11.8% | -1.7% |
| 2022-03-08 beat | 0.78 | 0.94 | +21.0% | +6.7% | +6.2% | -2.4% | +1.9% |
| 2021-12-15 beat | 0.81 | 0.85 | +5.5% | +0.1% | -11.0% | +0.0% | +10.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.