ADBE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -4.5% | -5.8% | 7.8% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.6% | 2.3% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.6% | 1.8% | 58% |
| 5-day | -4.7% | -7.1% | 9.8% | 32% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 beat | 6.09 | 6.13 | +0.7% | -2.7% | +1.4% | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 beat | 5.81 | 5.96 | +2.5% | -7.5% | -6.8% | -4.5% | +10.1% |
| 2026-03-12 beat | 5.87 | 6.06 | +3.2% | -7.7% | -7.6% | -0.5% | -5.5% |
| 2025-12-10 beat | 5.40 | 5.50 | +1.9% | -0.4% | +2.1% | +1.5% | -11.6% |
| 2025-09-11 beat | 5.18 | 5.31 | +2.5% | +3.0% | -0.3% | +4.7% | -2.9% |
| 2025-06-12 beat | 4.97 | 5.06 | +1.7% | -5.1% | -5.3% | -3.0% | -7.6% |
| 2025-03-12 beat | 4.97 | 5.08 | +2.2% | -7.6% | -13.9% | +3.1% | -6.7% |
| 2024-12-11 beat | 4.67 | 4.81 | +3.0% | -11.4% | -13.7% | -7.8% | -12.1% |
| 2024-09-12 beat | 4.54 | 4.65 | +2.5% | -9.2% | -8.5% | -2.7% | -5.1% |
| 2024-06-13 beat | 4.40 | 4.48 | +1.9% | +15.6% | +14.5% | -0.2% | +7.2% |
| 2024-03-14 beat | 4.38 | 4.48 | +2.2% | -12.4% | -13.7% | +1.4% | -3.3% |
| 2023-12-13 beat | 4.14 | 4.27 | +3.2% | -5.0% | -6.3% | +2.7% | +2.0% |
| 2023-09-14 beat | 3.98 | 4.10 | +3.1% | -3.6% | -4.2% | -3.0% | +4.1% |
| 2023-06-15 beat | 3.79 | 3.91 | +3.2% | +5.6% | +0.9% | -3.2% | +6.5% |
| 2023-03-15 beat | 3.68 | 3.80 | +3.2% | +3.3% | +5.9% | +4.4% | +7.0% |
| 2022-12-15 beat | 3.50 | 3.60 | +2.7% | +5.0% | +3.0% | +0.0% | +1.2% |
| 2022-09-15 beat | 3.34 | 3.40 | +1.7% | -13.0% | -16.8% | -7.1% | -6.9% |
| 2022-06-16 beat | 3.31 | 3.35 | +1.3% | -4.3% | -1.2% | +5.6% | +11.3% |
| 2022-03-22 beat | 3.34 | 3.37 | +0.8% | -6.2% | -9.3% | +8.8% | -3.4% |
| 2021-12-16 beat | 3.20 | 3.20 | +0.0% | -8.2% | -10.2% | +0.6% | -9.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.