ADBE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.8% | -6.0% | 8.5% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +1.0% | 2.4% | 56% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | +0.5% | 2.0% | 56% |
| 5-day | -5.3% | -8.1% | 10.6% | 33% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 beat | 6.09 | 6.13 | +0.7% | -2.7% | +1.4% | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 beat | 5.81 | 5.96 | +2.5% | -7.5% | -6.8% | -4.5% | +10.1% |
| 2026-03-12 beat | 5.87 | 6.06 | +3.2% | -7.7% | -7.6% | -0.5% | -5.5% |
| 2025-12-10 beat | 5.40 | 5.50 | +1.9% | -0.4% | +2.1% | +1.5% | -11.6% |
| 2025-09-11 beat | 5.18 | 5.31 | +2.5% | +3.0% | -0.3% | +4.7% | -2.9% |
| 2025-06-12 beat | 4.97 | 5.06 | +1.7% | -5.1% | -5.3% | -3.0% | -7.6% |
| 2025-03-12 beat | 4.97 | 5.08 | +2.2% | -7.6% | -13.9% | +3.1% | -6.7% |
| 2024-12-11 beat | 4.67 | 4.81 | +3.0% | -11.4% | -13.7% | -7.8% | -12.1% |
| 2024-09-12 beat | 4.54 | 4.65 | +2.5% | -9.2% | -8.5% | -2.7% | -5.1% |
| 2024-06-13 beat | 4.40 | 4.48 | +1.9% | +15.6% | +14.5% | -0.2% | +7.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.