ADC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 2.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 1.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.5% | 0.9% | 35% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | -0.3% | 2.2% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 0.47 | 0.47 | -1.5% | -1.2% | -0.8% | -2.8% | -7.1% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +4.4% | +1.4% | -2.8% | -0.4% | -1.3% |
| 2026-02-10 miss | 0.47 | 0.47 | -0.1% | +0.6% | +0.3% | +0.5% | +3.2% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +2.5% | +2.4% | +0.2% | -2.7% | -1.9% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 0.46 | 0.46 | -0.1% | +3.7% | +2.8% | -0.6% | -2.1% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +8.0% | -0.2% | -2.4% | +0.5% | -3.5% |
| 2025-02-11 miss | 0.44 | 0.41 | -6.5% | -2.0% | -1.7% | -0.1% | +7.7% |
| 2024-10-22 miss | 0.43 | 0.40 | -7.2% | -0.9% | +2.1% | -2.1% | +0.6% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 0.45 | 0.45 | +1.0% | +0.3% | +1.7% | +1.7% | +6.8% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +2.8% | +0.8% | +1.4% | -1.5% | +1.1% |
| 2024-02-13 beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +2.3% | -1.1% | -1.9% | +1.5% | +0.8% |
| 2023-10-24 miss | 0.42 | 0.41 | -2.4% | -0.3% | -0.7% | +5.6% | +6.8% |
| 2023-08-01 miss | 0.43 | 0.42 | -3.4% | -0.2% | -2.5% | +1.8% | -2.0% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 0.46 | 0.44 | -4.3% | +1.2% | +1.0% | -1.9% | -4.0% |
| 2023-02-14 miss | 0.44 | 0.44 | -0.2% | +1.7% | +2.9% | -0.8% | -7.5% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | 0.44 | 0.43 | -2.0% | -1.5% | -3.0% | +3.2% | +6.3% |
| 2022-08-02 miss | 0.47 | 0.45 | -3.9% | +2.5% | -2.1% | +2.5% | -1.4% |
| 2022-05-03 miss | 0.46 | 0.45 | -1.4% | -0.1% | +2.3% | -3.7% | +0.6% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +4.3% | +0.8% | -1.1% | +2.9% | +3.2% |
| 2021-11-01 beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +9.2% | +0.7% | +0.3% | -2.4% | -4.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.