ADC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 2.0% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 1.1% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.6% | 1.0% | 20% |
| 5-day | -0.7% | -0.9% | 2.3% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 0.47 | 0.47 | -1.5% | -1.2% | -0.8% | -2.8% | -7.1% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +4.4% | +1.4% | -2.8% | -0.4% | -1.3% |
| 2026-02-10 miss | 0.47 | 0.47 | -0.1% | +0.6% | +0.3% | +0.5% | +3.2% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +2.5% | +2.4% | +0.2% | -2.7% | -1.9% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 0.46 | 0.46 | -0.1% | +3.7% | +2.8% | -0.6% | -2.1% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +8.0% | -0.2% | -2.4% | +0.5% | -3.5% |
| 2025-02-11 miss | 0.44 | 0.41 | -6.5% | -2.0% | -1.7% | -0.1% | +7.7% |
| 2024-10-22 miss | 0.43 | 0.40 | -7.2% | -0.9% | +2.1% | -2.1% | +0.6% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 0.45 | 0.45 | +1.0% | +0.3% | +1.7% | +1.7% | +6.8% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +2.8% | +0.8% | +1.4% | -1.5% | +1.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.