ADSK chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.4% | +0.1% | 6.5% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.4% | 2.8% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -0.5% | 2.3% | 35% |
| 5-day | -0.4% | -0.9% | 8.8% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 beat | 3.12 | 3.30 | +5.6% | -3.5% | -3.7% | -16.4% | — |
| 2026-05-28 beat | 2.84 | 2.99 | +5.2% | -6.4% | -4.0% | -0.6% | -15.9% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 2.64 | 2.85 | +7.8% | +0.1% | +5.3% | +6.1% | -4.1% |
| 2025-11-25 beat | 2.50 | 2.67 | +6.9% | +6.6% | +2.4% | +1.5% | +0.0% |
| 2025-08-28 beat | 2.45 | 2.62 | +7.0% | +10.2% | +9.1% | +3.8% | +0.9% |
| 2025-05-22 beat | 2.15 | 2.29 | +6.7% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +0.0% | +2.4% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 2.14 | 2.29 | +7.0% | -1.0% | -2.9% | -5.3% | -4.5% |
| 2024-11-26 beat | 2.12 | 2.17 | +2.4% | -7.8% | -8.6% | +5.0% | +2.4% |
| 2024-08-29 beat | 2.00 | 2.15 | +7.3% | +4.6% | +0.1% | -1.1% | +3.5% |
| 2024-06-10 beat | 1.77 | 1.87 | +5.7% | -3.3% | -3.1% | +15.4% | +19.8% |
| 2024-02-29 beat | 1.95 | 2.09 | +7.3% | +6.5% | +2.5% | -4.9% | -6.1% |
| 2023-11-21 beat | 1.99 | 2.07 | +4.0% | -7.5% | -6.9% | +7.8% | +19.8% |
| 2023-08-23 beat | 1.73 | 1.91 | +10.7% | +5.5% | +2.1% | +6.4% | -1.4% |
| 2023-05-25 miss | 1.56 | 1.55 | -0.6% | +1.6% | +0.7% | +4.8% | +3.7% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 1.81 | 1.86 | +2.6% | -8.1% | -12.9% | +7.8% | +3.2% |
| 2022-11-22 miss | 1.70 | 1.70 | -0.1% | -8.7% | -5.7% | +5.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022-08-24 beat | 1.57 | 1.65 | +5.0% | +9.5% | +2.7% | -8.3% | -16.4% |
| 2022-05-26 beat | 1.34 | 1.43 | +6.9% | +6.5% | +10.3% | -1.3% | -16.3% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 1.44 | 1.50 | +4.1% | +0.0% | +0.7% | -5.4% | -1.9% |
| 2021-11-23 beat | 1.26 | 1.33 | +5.8% | -13.5% | -15.5% | +0.3% | +10.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.