AEG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.5% | 4.3% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | +0.4% | 2.5% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 2.1% | 40% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | -2.1% | 5.4% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-09 miss | 0.06 | -1.27 | -2217.3% | +5.6% | +3.6% | +0.2% | -16.5% |
| 2022-11-09 beat | -0.29 | -0.10 | +65.0% | +1.9% | +1.7% | +2.1% | +3.8% |
| 2022-08-11 miss | -0.11 | -0.20 | -85.7% | +8.6% | +8.4% | -3.0% | -5.6% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 0.20 | 0.29 | +45.3% | -7.7% | -8.1% | -1.8% | -24.9% |
| 2021-11-12 beat | -0.20 | -0.04 | +79.6% | +0.2% | +0.4% | -2.9% | -7.0% |
| 2013-11-07 miss | 0.26 | 0.23 | -10.2% | -0.3% | -0.8% | +8.1% | +11.8% |
| 2013-08-08 miss | 0.25 | 0.24 | -4.1% | -1.4% | -2.5% | -0.8% | -2.8% |
| 2013-05-08 miss | 0.27 | 0.22 | -18.9% | -3.2% | -3.2% | -1.8% | +4.1% |
| 2013-03-22 beat | 0.19 | 0.23 | +23.0% | +1.1% | +0.5% | -2.3% | +0.7% |
| 2012-11-08 beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +7.2% | +0.9% | +0.5% | -4.1% | +6.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.