AESI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | +1.5% | 7.5% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -1.9% | -2.5% | 3.1% | 21% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.7% | 2.2% | 57% |
| 5-day | -1.1% | +1.8% | 8.9% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 miss | -0.09 | -0.17 | -88.7% | -9.3% | +0.0% | +9.6% | +19.2% |
| 2026-05-04 miss | -0.20 | -0.36 | -84.4% | -0.5% | +8.3% | -4.9% | -5.0% |
| 2026-02-23 miss | -0.19 | -0.21 | -9.3% | +4.5% | -5.7% | -4.4% | +30.8% |
| 2025-11-03 miss | -0.02 | -0.18 | -821.0% | -14.2% | -15.9% | -4.3% | -5.5% |
| 2025-08-04 miss | 0.11 | -0.01 | -105.2% | +1.9% | +1.4% | -5.9% | -11.3% |
| 2025-05-05 miss | 0.18 | 0.03 | -81.4% | -4.4% | -10.6% | +6.2% | +1.4% |
| 2025-02-24 miss | 0.17 | 0.07 | -62.1% | +0.6% | -5.7% | -8.1% | -5.9% |
| 2024-10-28 miss | 0.23 | 0.18 | -22.1% | +4.3% | +1.7% | -0.9% | +15.0% |
| 2024-08-05 miss | 0.35 | 0.18 | -47.0% | +1.7% | +5.6% | +2.0% | +6.8% |
| 2024-05-06 miss | 0.36 | 0.34 | -6.7% | -6.6% | +4.3% | -1.5% | -3.6% |
| 2024-02-27 miss | 0.56 | 0.36 | -34.8% | -0.1% | +8.1% | +2.2% | +13.5% |
| 2023-10-30 miss | 0.65 | 0.56 | -13.5% | -4.4% | -5.6% | +0.1% | -6.3% |
| 2023-07-31 beat | 0.66 | 0.69 | +4.0% | +5.1% | +8.4% | -2.6% | +0.1% |
| 2023-05-08 beat | 0.67 | 0.98 | +46.2% | +0.6% | +3.0% | -0.3% | +2.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.