AFRM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.4% | -2.7% | 18.2% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +1.3% | +0.9% | 9.7% | 52% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.7% | 5.7% | 43% |
| 5-day | +2.3% | -2.3% | 22.7% | 48% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 beat | 0.85 | 4.97 | +486.2% | +11.0% | +0.3% | -7.0% | — |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 0.73 | 0.62 | -15.0% | +1.5% | -5.0% | +2.8% | +1.7% |
| 2026-02-05 miss | 0.84 | 0.72 | -13.9% | +2.1% | -4.0% | -12.7% | -12.7% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.62 | 0.61 | -1.3% | +6.0% | +11.6% | -4.2% | -7.1% |
| 2025-08-28 beat | 0.43 | 0.53 | +22.5% | +15.0% | +10.6% | -2.9% | -17.4% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 0.40 | 0.19 | -51.8% | -6.9% | -14.5% | +13.3% | +31.4% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 0.43 | 0.76 | +75.2% | +13.2% | +21.8% | +7.3% | -37.8% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.17 | 0.36 | +113.1% | -1.4% | -4.7% | +20.8% | +42.7% |
| 2024-08-28 beat | -0.26 | -0.14 | +44.0% | +23.8% | +31.9% | -7.7% | -2.0% |
| 2024-05-08 miss | -0.30 | -0.41 | -37.3% | +1.7% | -9.5% | +2.3% | -4.8% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | -0.55 | -0.54 | +1.4% | -6.1% | -10.9% | -13.0% | -14.5% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | -0.61 | -0.56 | +8.7% | +14.8% | +14.2% | -1.3% | +60.6% |
| 2023-08-24 miss | -0.68 | -0.68 | -0.0% | +9.3% | +28.8% | +22.9% | +11.9% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | -0.85 | -0.57 | +33.2% | -1.5% | -0.4% | +7.4% | +42.0% |
| 2023-02-08 miss | -0.99 | -1.08 | -9.3% | -15.4% | -17.0% | +2.2% | -22.3% |
| 2022-11-08 beat | -0.88 | -0.86 | +2.0% | -14.7% | -22.6% | +25.0% | -6.3% |
| 2022-08-25 beat | -0.73 | -0.65 | +11.1% | -12.2% | -21.3% | -8.6% | -21.1% |
| 2022-05-12 beat | -0.39 | -0.19 | +50.4% | +37.6% | +31.4% | +4.7% | -25.3% |
| 2022-02-10 miss | -0.22 | -0.57 | -152.6% | -9.6% | -20.7% | -19.8% | -39.1% |
| 2021-11-10 miss | -0.30 | -1.13 | -281.9% | +23.8% | +13.7% | -8.4% | -27.6% |
| 2021-09-09 miss | -0.24 | -0.47 | -97.2% | +20.7% | +34.4% | -6.0% | +9.2% |
| 2021-05-10 miss | -0.27 | -1.00 | -271.8% | -12.5% | -2.7% | -6.9% | +14.8% |
| 2021-02-11 beat | -0.81 | -0.40 | +49.9% | -7.4% | -10.1% | -16.7% | -35.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.