AIT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.8% | +1.3% | 5.2% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.1% | 2.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.5% | 1.8% | 45% |
| 5-day | +1.9% | +1.5% | 6.4% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 beat | 2.92 | 3.17 | +8.7% | +3.9% | +1.5% | -4.8% | — |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 2.65 | 2.65 | +0.2% | +0.5% | +1.1% | +1.4% | +2.4% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 2.50 | 2.51 | +0.6% | -4.7% | -6.8% | +4.1% | +8.1% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 2.48 | 2.63 | +5.9% | -3.1% | -0.8% | -0.6% | -0.3% |
| 2025-08-14 beat | 2.63 | 2.80 | +6.7% | -2.6% | -1.0% | -5.2% | -3.7% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 2.41 | 2.57 | +6.6% | -0.1% | -6.0% | -2.9% | -1.8% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 2.21 | 2.39 | +8.0% | -1.0% | +0.9% | +4.1% | -1.5% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 2.26 | 2.36 | +4.2% | +3.7% | +3.6% | -0.2% | +19.5% |
| 2024-08-15 beat | 2.51 | 2.65 | +5.5% | -2.9% | +0.6% | +1.4% | +4.4% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 2.40 | 2.47 | +2.9% | -0.6% | -3.8% | +3.2% | +9.4% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 2.11 | 2.24 | +6.3% | +2.4% | +0.5% | +3.0% | +6.3% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 2.09 | 2.39 | +14.2% | +0.5% | +1.8% | -0.1% | +5.6% |
| 2023-08-10 beat | 2.17 | 2.35 | +8.3% | +4.9% | +6.7% | -5.1% | +6.6% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 2.15 | 2.38 | +10.5% | +1.2% | +3.3% | -6.0% | -5.8% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 1.67 | 2.05 | +23.0% | +7.8% | +11.4% | +7.0% | +4.1% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.63 | 1.97 | +20.6% | +4.6% | +3.8% | +3.2% | +7.2% |
| 2022-08-11 beat | 1.66 | 2.02 | +21.4% | +9.6% | +12.1% | -3.2% | -6.7% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 1.50 | 1.75 | +16.7% | +7.5% | +9.1% | +2.3% | -1.7% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 1.08 | 1.46 | +35.7% | +6.7% | +2.9% | -1.5% | +1.6% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 1.26 | 1.36 | +7.6% | -1.0% | -4.9% | +1.9% | +4.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.