AIT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +0.4% | 4.8% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.1% | 2.7% | 52% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.0% | 2.1% | 45% |
| 5-day | +1.4% | +1.4% | 6.0% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 beat | 2.92 | 3.17 | +8.7% | +3.9% | +1.5% | -4.8% | — |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 2.65 | 2.65 | +0.2% | +0.5% | +1.1% | +1.4% | +2.4% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 2.50 | 2.51 | +0.6% | -4.7% | -6.8% | +4.1% | +8.1% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 2.48 | 2.63 | +5.9% | -3.1% | -0.8% | -0.6% | -0.3% |
| 2025-08-14 beat | 2.63 | 2.80 | +6.7% | -2.6% | -1.0% | -5.2% | -3.7% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 2.41 | 2.57 | +6.6% | -0.1% | -6.0% | -2.9% | -1.8% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 2.21 | 2.39 | +8.0% | -1.0% | +0.9% | +4.1% | -1.5% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 2.26 | 2.36 | +4.2% | +3.7% | +3.6% | -0.2% | +19.5% |
| 2024-08-15 beat | 2.51 | 2.65 | +5.5% | -2.9% | +0.6% | +1.4% | +4.4% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 2.40 | 2.47 | +2.9% | -0.6% | -3.8% | +3.2% | +9.4% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 2.11 | 2.24 | +6.3% | +2.4% | +0.5% | +3.0% | +6.3% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 2.09 | 2.39 | +14.2% | +0.5% | +1.8% | -0.1% | +5.6% |
| 2023-08-10 beat | 2.17 | 2.35 | +8.3% | +4.9% | +6.7% | -5.1% | +6.6% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 2.15 | 2.38 | +10.5% | +1.2% | +3.3% | -6.0% | -5.8% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 1.67 | 2.05 | +23.0% | +7.8% | +11.4% | +7.0% | +4.1% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.63 | 1.97 | +20.6% | +4.6% | +3.8% | +3.2% | +7.2% |
| 2022-08-11 beat | 1.66 | 2.02 | +21.4% | +9.6% | +12.1% | -3.2% | -6.7% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 1.50 | 1.75 | +16.7% | +7.5% | +9.1% | +2.3% | -1.7% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 1.08 | 1.46 | +35.7% | +6.7% | +2.9% | -1.5% | +1.6% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 1.26 | 1.36 | +7.6% | -1.0% | -4.9% | +1.9% | +4.1% |
| 2021-08-17 beat | 1.17 | 1.51 | +29.1% | +0.5% | +0.4% | -0.9% | -4.7% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 1.05 | 1.37 | +30.2% | +1.3% | +1.6% | +6.5% | +1.0% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 0.77 | 0.98 | +27.3% | +2.0% | -5.1% | +7.1% | +19.4% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 0.64 | 0.89 | +39.5% | -2.0% | +0.4% | +8.9% | +33.7% |
| 2020-08-12 beat | 0.69 | 0.80 | +16.8% | -2.2% | -1.8% | -9.7% | -15.3% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 1.01 | 1.02 | +0.7% | -5.6% | -7.5% | -0.5% | +11.9% |
| 2020-01-23 beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +1.9% | +0.1% | -0.7% | +0.5% | -0.3% |
| 2019-10-30 miss | 1.02 | 1.02 | -0.3% | +4.0% | +6.1% | +2.6% | +4.8% |
| 2019-08-14 miss | 1.17 | 1.02 | -13.1% | -7.4% | -2.0% | +2.0% | +8.5% |
| 2019-04-26 miss | 1.18 | 1.16 | -1.7% | -0.8% | -3.8% | +1.8% | -6.6% |
| 2019-01-24 miss | 1.06 | 0.99 | -6.6% | -6.8% | -8.4% | +6.7% | +8.9% |
| 2018-10-31 beat | 1.11 | 1.14 | +2.7% | -1.0% | -3.0% | +6.4% | -0.8% |
| 2018-08-10 beat | 1.00 | 1.03 | +2.7% | +3.5% | -3.2% | +5.8% | +8.0% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 0.85 | 1.05 | +24.3% | +3.3% | -6.7% | -3.0% | +4.2% |
| 2018-01-25 beat | 0.71 | 0.77 | +8.2% | +4.4% | +2.9% | +2.4% | -0.1% |
| 2017-10-25 beat | 0.76 | 0.86 | +13.4% | +1.2% | -1.4% | -2.0% | -4.9% |
| 2017-08-11 beat | 0.77 | 0.78 | +0.9% | -0.5% | +1.0% | -1.9% | +6.7% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 0.63 | 0.75 | +20.0% | +2.0% | +4.1% | -4.5% | -7.6% |
| 2017-01-26 beat | 0.59 | 0.61 | +4.3% | +2.7% | +0.3% | -5.8% | -1.2% |
| 2016-10-26 beat | 0.60 | 0.70 | +16.7% | +9.2% | +9.4% | +2.4% | +25.7% |
| 2016-08-12 beat | 0.66 | 0.66 | +0.2% | -4.0% | -5.0% | +1.3% | +1.4% |
| 2016-04-28 miss | 0.61 | 0.61 | -0.2% | -1.3% | -0.1% | -2.6% | -1.4% |
| 2016-01-28 miss | 0.62 | 0.61 | -1.0% | +3.1% | +1.4% | +3.9% | +1.6% |
| 2015-10-28 miss | 0.68 | 0.61 | -9.8% | -3.5% | +2.4% | +10.0% | +7.6% |
| 2015-08-12 miss | 0.72 | 0.70 | -3.0% | +0.0% | +2.6% | +2.8% | +1.3% |
| 2015-04-30 miss | 0.76 | 0.70 | -8.4% | +0.8% | +0.3% | +1.1% | +1.1% |
| 2015-01-29 beat | 0.68 | 0.72 | +5.7% | +2.5% | +7.6% | -2.9% | +0.5% |
| 2014-10-29 miss | 0.71 | 0.70 | -1.2% | +0.9% | -1.8% | +4.2% | -1.4% |
| 2014-08-13 miss | 0.75 | 0.71 | -4.8% | -5.7% | -4.2% | +3.0% | +3.4% |
| 2014-05-01 miss | 0.71 | 0.65 | -8.6% | -0.6% | +0.4% | -2.8% | -0.7% |
| 2014-01-30 beat | 0.59 | 0.61 | +4.3% | +1.8% | +10.1% | -4.9% | -0.1% |
| 2013-10-30 miss | 0.70 | 0.63 | -10.5% | -4.7% | -6.3% | -2.5% | -0.6% |
| 2013-08-14 | 0.76 | 0.76 | — | +1.8% | -1.4% | -2.1% | -0.6% |
| 2013-05-02 beat | 0.67 | 0.69 | +2.3% | +3.4% | +6.5% | +4.6% | +12.5% |
| 2013-01-31 miss | 0.64 | 0.64 | -0.4% | +0.1% | +0.6% | -0.2% | -2.4% |
| 2012-10-23 miss | 0.71 | 0.70 | -1.6% | -0.7% | -0.1% | +4.5% | -1.4% |
| 2012-08-09 beat | 0.71 | 0.75 | +5.6% | +0.1% | +8.3% | +0.4% | +5.4% |
| 2012-04-26 beat | 0.64 | 0.69 | +7.8% | +0.4% | -0.9% | -1.8% | -5.9% |
| 2012-01-25 beat | 0.54 | 0.56 | +3.7% | -1.2% | -6.3% | +5.4% | +10.8% |
| 2011-10-25 beat | 0.57 | 0.61 | +7.7% | +4.6% | +0.7% | +1.9% | -3.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.