ALE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | -0.1% | 1.8% | 22% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 0.6% | 22% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 0.6% | 67% |
| 5-day | -0.4% | -0.2% | 1.3% | 44% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-19 | 0.95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-10-31 miss | 0.80 | 0.46 | -42.5% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +0.1% | +0.4% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.85 | 0.55 | -35.3% | -0.2% | -0.4% | +0.2% | -3.4% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 1.01 | 0.97 | -4.4% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -0.6% | -0.4% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | 1.08 | 0.87 | -19.2% | -0.4% | +0.0% | -0.6% | -0.7% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 0.90 | 0.78 | -13.7% | +0.2% | -0.1% | +1.4% | +1.4% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.92 | 0.57 | -38.0% | +0.0% | -0.7% | +0.2% | -0.8% |
| 2024-05-09 miss | 1.07 | 0.88 | -17.5% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +0.1% | -0.2% |
| 2024-02-20 miss | 0.94 | 0.89 | -5.3% | -3.2% | -1.6% | -1.8% | +0.5% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.65 | 1.49 | +130.4% | +1.9% | +4.7% | -4.3% | -0.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.