ALE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | -0.1% | 2.7% | 41% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.4% | 1.8% | 52% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 1.5% | 62% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | +0.1% | 4.6% | 52% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-19 | 0.95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-10-31 miss | 0.80 | 0.46 | -42.5% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +0.1% | +0.4% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.85 | 0.55 | -35.3% | -0.2% | -0.4% | +0.2% | -3.4% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 1.01 | 0.97 | -4.4% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -0.6% | -0.4% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | 1.08 | 0.87 | -19.2% | -0.4% | +0.0% | -0.6% | -0.7% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 0.90 | 0.78 | -13.7% | +0.2% | -0.1% | +1.4% | +1.4% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.92 | 0.57 | -38.0% | +0.0% | -0.7% | +0.2% | -0.8% |
| 2024-05-09 miss | 1.07 | 0.88 | -17.5% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +0.1% | -0.2% |
| 2024-02-20 miss | 0.94 | 0.89 | -5.3% | -3.2% | -1.6% | -1.8% | +0.5% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.65 | 1.49 | +130.4% | +1.9% | +4.7% | -4.3% | -0.3% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.79 | 0.90 | +13.7% | -0.4% | +2.9% | -4.4% | -4.9% |
| 2023-05-03 miss | 1.19 | 1.02 | -14.2% | +1.0% | +0.5% | +0.5% | -2.3% |
| 2023-02-16 miss | 1.16 | 0.90 | -22.6% | +0.0% | +2.2% | +2.4% | +7.8% |
| 2022-11-09 miss | 0.70 | 0.59 | -16.1% | -0.9% | +4.9% | +11.9% | +13.6% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 0.66 | 0.67 | +1.1% | +1.3% | +1.4% | -0.8% | -4.9% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 1.32 | 1.24 | -5.9% | -4.4% | -2.7% | -1.8% | +5.9% |
| 2022-02-16 beat | 1.06 | 1.18 | +10.9% | +1.4% | -2.1% | +1.9% | +9.0% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 0.71 | 0.53 | -24.9% | -2.1% | +1.1% | +1.0% | -2.1% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +2.5% | -1.4% | -0.3% | +0.8% | -4.8% |
| 2021-05-06 miss | 1.07 | 0.99 | -7.9% | +0.1% | +1.0% | -0.6% | -1.6% |
| 2021-02-17 beat | 0.74 | 0.90 | +21.4% | +0.3% | -0.4% | -2.7% | +5.2% |
| 2020-11-09 beat | 0.64 | 0.78 | +21.3% | +3.5% | +7.6% | +1.6% | +2.7% |
| 2020-08-05 miss | 0.59 | 0.55 | -7.4% | +0.9% | -3.5% | +1.8% | -6.4% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | 1.12 | 1.28 | +14.3% | +0.1% | -7.6% | -0.6% | +20.4% |
| 2020-02-13 miss | 0.92 | 0.90 | -2.4% | -0.6% | -0.8% | -1.8% | -32.0% |
| 2019-11-06 miss | 0.63 | 0.60 | -5.4% | -0.3% | -1.1% | -2.1% | -4.3% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | 0.68 | 0.64 | -5.9% | -0.9% | -0.5% | +0.0% | -0.9% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 1.16 | 1.18 | +1.3% | -0.2% | -0.1% | +1.0% | +2.9% |
| 2019-02-14 beat | 1.13 | 1.18 | +4.5% | -1.3% | +1.0% | +5.6% | +6.7% |
| 2018-11-01 miss | 0.84 | 0.59 | -29.6% | -0.7% | +0.8% | +2.8% | +10.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.