ALEX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +1.6% | 4.5% | 65% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.8% | 2.8% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.3% | 2.0% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +0.6% | 6.2% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.15 | 0.20 | +33.3% | -2.5% | -4.3% | -2.8% | -3.3% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +9.4% | +5.8% | +2.0% | -2.3% | +3.3% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.16 | 0.29 | +87.1% | -1.7% | -2.4% | +6.1% | +8.2% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +13.3% | +3.4% | +0.6% | -0.5% | -4.9% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +23.8% | +1.8% | +2.3% | +0.1% | +3.7% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +14.3% | +6.8% | +6.3% | -0.2% | +0.3% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.13 | 0.28 | +115.4% | +3.0% | +2.3% | +1.6% | +0.9% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | 0.06 | 0.12 | +100.0% | +0.5% | -2.8% | +2.4% | -0.4% |
| 2022-11-04 miss | 0.17 | 0.09 | -47.1% | +1.0% | +6.6% | +0.7% | -4.9% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | -0.39 | 0.06 | +114.6% | +1.4% | +2.0% | -4.6% | -5.2% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +33.3% | +0.6% | +1.0% | -0.4% | -0.8% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | 0.10 | 0.06 | -43.6% | -0.2% | +1.5% | -0.8% | +0.6% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 0.13 | 0.10 | -23.0% | +0.7% | +1.8% | -5.4% | -7.5% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.10 | 0.18 | +80.0% | +4.7% | +3.5% | +2.5% | +3.6% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.02 | 0.13 | +790.7% | +2.5% | +2.3% | +0.7% | +7.6% |
| 2021-02-25 miss | 0.03 | 0.01 | -66.7% | +1.0% | -5.5% | +1.8% | -5.4% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.01 | 0.04 | +300.0% | +4.4% | +4.7% | +0.9% | +23.6% |
| 2020-08-06 miss | -0.02 | -0.06 | -200.0% | -1.6% | -1.5% | +8.7% | +0.1% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +35.7% | -6.3% | -11.0% | +5.6% | -0.3% |
| 2020-02-26 miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -6.1% | -0.5% | -7.4% | -12.3% | -38.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.