ALEX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.4% | 4.2% | 56% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.6% | 2.2% | 44% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.3% | 1.7% | 58% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | +0.7% | 5.9% | 56% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.15 | 0.20 | +33.3% | -2.5% | -4.3% | -2.8% | -3.3% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +9.4% | +5.8% | +2.0% | -2.3% | +3.3% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.16 | 0.29 | +87.1% | -1.7% | -2.4% | +6.1% | +8.2% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +13.3% | +3.4% | +0.6% | -0.5% | -4.9% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +23.8% | +1.8% | +2.3% | +0.1% | +3.7% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +14.3% | +6.8% | +6.3% | -0.2% | +0.3% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.13 | 0.28 | +115.4% | +3.0% | +2.3% | +1.6% | +0.9% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | 0.06 | 0.12 | +100.0% | +0.5% | -2.8% | +2.4% | -0.4% |
| 2022-11-04 miss | 0.17 | 0.09 | -47.1% | +1.0% | +6.6% | +0.7% | -4.9% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | -0.39 | 0.06 | +114.6% | +1.4% | +2.0% | -4.6% | -5.2% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +33.3% | +0.6% | +1.0% | -0.4% | -0.8% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | 0.10 | 0.06 | -43.6% | -0.2% | +1.5% | -0.8% | +0.6% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 0.13 | 0.10 | -23.0% | +0.7% | +1.8% | -5.4% | -7.5% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.10 | 0.18 | +80.0% | +4.7% | +3.5% | +2.5% | +3.6% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.02 | 0.13 | +790.7% | +2.5% | +2.3% | +0.7% | +7.6% |
| 2021-02-25 miss | 0.03 | 0.01 | -66.7% | +1.0% | -5.5% | +1.8% | -5.4% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.01 | 0.04 | +300.0% | +4.4% | +4.7% | +0.9% | +23.6% |
| 2020-08-06 miss | -0.02 | -0.06 | -200.0% | -1.6% | -1.5% | +8.7% | +0.1% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +35.7% | -6.3% | -11.0% | +5.6% | -0.3% |
| 2020-02-26 miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -6.1% | -0.5% | -7.4% | -12.3% | -38.6% |
| 2019-10-30 miss | 0.11 | — | -100.0% | -2.2% | -4.2% | -2.3% | -9.4% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | 0.14 | -0.01 | -109.2% | -2.3% | -0.3% | -1.6% | -2.5% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.13 | 0.13 | +1.5% | +2.7% | +4.2% | -1.6% | -1.2% |
| 2019-02-27 beat | 0.34 | 1.79 | +420.2% | -7.6% | -7.0% | -2.9% | +10.9% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +18.4% | +8.8% | +7.0% | +1.6% | -6.7% |
| 2018-08-02 miss | 0.11 | 0.03 | -71.4% | -0.5% | +0.2% | +0.6% | -1.6% |
| 2018-05-08 beat | 0.24 | 0.66 | +175.0% | -0.4% | -2.0% | -6.3% | -4.2% |
| 2018-02-28 beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +14.8% | +1.2% | +5.0% | +5.0% | -1.0% |
| 2017-11-07 beat | 0.14 | 0.23 | +65.6% | -4.8% | -4.8% | +0.6% | -32.5% |
| 2017-08-02 beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +17.6% | +0.4% | +0.0% | +2.0% | +3.0% |
| 2017-05-04 miss | 0.22 | 0.16 | -25.6% | -1.8% | -7.5% | -1.8% | -3.8% |
| 2017-02-28 beat | 0.48 | 0.55 | +15.6% | -9.0% | -0.5% | -1.8% | -0.9% |
| 2016-10-27 miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -3.8% | +2.9% | +9.2% | -3.1% | +7.3% |
| 2016-07-27 beat | 0.16 | 0.20 | +27.7% | -1.1% | +3.4% | +3.1% | +2.4% |
| 2016-05-05 miss | 0.20 | 0.06 | -70.0% | -7.3% | -2.8% | -2.8% | +5.2% |
| 2016-02-25 beat | -0.10 | 0.25 | +341.9% | -0.6% | -0.4% | +4.7% | +8.0% |
| 2015-11-05 miss | 0.20 | 0.11 | -45.0% | -4.2% | -1.4% | -5.6% | -4.5% |
| 2015-08-06 miss | 0.21 | 0.20 | -2.9% | -13.8% | -3.7% | +2.8% | -2.8% |
| 2015-05-07 beat | 0.31 | 0.51 | +66.7% | +6.1% | +5.6% | -0.2% | -6.3% |
| 2015-03-09 beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +11.5% | +0.3% | +1.0% | +0.0% | +8.6% |
| 2014-11-05 beat | 0.10 | 0.21 | +114.3% | +1.1% | +3.5% | -2.7% | -8.8% |
| 2014-08-07 beat | 0.12 | 0.19 | +61.0% | -0.1% | +0.1% | +2.3% | +3.1% |
| 2014-05-08 miss | 0.14 | 0.01 | -95.7% | -0.4% | -0.8% | -1.4% | +9.1% |
| 2014-02-20 beat | 0.24 | 0.46 | +94.1% | +2.4% | +8.4% | -0.5% | +6.6% |
| 2013-11-07 beat | 0.15 | 0.22 | +50.0% | +0.5% | +1.2% | +0.1% | +5.5% |
| 2013-08-08 beat | 0.08 | 0.15 | +93.5% | -0.4% | -1.8% | -9.4% | -13.0% |
| 2013-05-09 miss | 0.06 | 0.05 | -9.1% | +0.6% | -0.9% | +4.7% | +4.2% |
| 2013-02-19 beat | 0.14 | 0.20 | +42.9% | +0.9% | +0.3% | +0.8% | +0.5% |
| 2012-11-08 beat | 0.14 | 0.32 | +134.1% | +0.0% | +0.5% | -6.5% | -0.5% |
| 2012-08-01 miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -10.3% | -0.2% | +1.4% | -2.2% | -8.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.