ALEX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.3% | +2.0% | 3.6% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.7% | 1.9% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.3% | 1.0% | 70% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +1.2% | 4.3% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.15 | 0.20 | +33.3% | -2.5% | -4.3% | -2.8% | -3.3% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +9.4% | +5.8% | +2.0% | -2.3% | +3.3% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.16 | 0.29 | +87.1% | -1.7% | -2.4% | +6.1% | +8.2% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +13.3% | +3.4% | +0.6% | -0.5% | -4.9% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +23.8% | +1.8% | +2.3% | +0.1% | +3.7% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +14.3% | +6.8% | +6.3% | -0.2% | +0.3% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.13 | 0.28 | +115.4% | +3.0% | +2.3% | +1.6% | +0.9% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | 0.06 | 0.12 | +100.0% | +0.5% | -2.8% | +2.4% | -0.4% |
| 2022-11-04 miss | 0.17 | 0.09 | -47.1% | +1.0% | +6.6% | +0.7% | -4.9% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | -0.39 | 0.06 | +114.6% | +1.4% | +2.0% | -4.6% | -5.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.