AM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.4% | +0.9% | 3.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 2.3% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.5% | 1.5% | 60% |
| 5-day | +2.2% | +1.3% | 4.4% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | 0.33 | 0.27 | -18.1% | +1.6% | +0.1% | -0.3% | +3.4% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 0.30 | 0.29 | -3.6% | -3.0% | -0.1% | -2.8% | -4.7% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +2.2% | +2.7% | +2.3% | +3.4% | +9.4% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 0.29 | 0.27 | -7.6% | -1.6% | -0.2% | -1.4% | +3.7% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.29 | 0.29 | +1.2% | +0.5% | +7.1% | +0.6% | -3.1% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -5.7% | -0.1% | +1.9% | +5.6% | +12.6% |
| 2025-02-12 miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -4.1% | +3.2% | +6.1% | -3.3% | +3.6% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 0.30 | 0.23 | -24.4% | -2.6% | -4.2% | +6.7% | +6.7% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | 0.27 | 0.23 | -14.4% | +1.3% | -2.2% | +0.2% | +5.9% |
| 2024-04-24 miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -6.2% | -0.6% | +1.5% | -1.9% | +1.3% |
| 2024-02-14 miss | 0.26 | 0.24 | -5.9% | +3.8% | +6.0% | +5.8% | +8.1% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.23 | 0.23 | +1.0% | +1.1% | +1.6% | +4.8% | +6.3% |
| 2023-07-26 miss | 0.24 | 0.22 | -8.2% | -1.7% | -1.1% | +1.5% | +2.7% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +2.8% | -0.3% | +5.5% | -0.6% | +1.0% |
| 2023-02-15 miss | 0.22 | 0.20 | -10.0% | +0.6% | +1.6% | -2.1% | -8.7% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | 0.22 | 0.20 | -10.4% | +0.5% | -0.1% | +5.2% | +6.6% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | 0.23 | 0.20 | -13.6% | +0.2% | +0.0% | -2.2% | +6.5% |
| 2022-04-27 miss | 0.22 | 0.19 | -13.8% | +1.9% | +7.6% | -2.8% | +2.1% |
| 2022-02-16 miss | 0.23 | 0.20 | -12.4% | -4.0% | -5.0% | +1.2% | +9.3% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +10.0% | +0.0% | +0.4% | -2.5% | -7.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.