AMAT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.4% | -2.8% | 5.1% | 25% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +1.1% | 3.1% | 65% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -0.8% | 1.7% | 30% |
| 5-day | -1.6% | -2.8% | 7.0% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 beat | 3.39 | 3.50 | +3.1% | -6.6% | -5.1% | -2.9% | — |
| 2026-05-14 beat | 2.69 | 2.86 | +6.5% | -2.8% | -0.9% | -1.0% | +30.1% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 2.21 | 2.38 | +7.9% | +11.1% | +8.1% | +5.3% | -0.7% |
| 2025-11-13 beat | 2.09 | 2.17 | +3.6% | -8.7% | +1.2% | -0.9% | +14.5% |
| 2025-08-14 beat | 2.36 | 2.48 | +5.1% | -13.6% | -14.1% | +0.5% | +7.3% |
| 2025-05-15 beat | 2.31 | 2.39 | +3.5% | -3.6% | -5.3% | -4.9% | +5.1% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 2.30 | 2.38 | +3.7% | -5.1% | -8.2% | -0.4% | -9.3% |
| 2024-11-14 beat | 2.19 | 2.32 | +5.7% | -9.5% | -9.2% | +3.6% | +0.9% |
| 2024-08-15 beat | 2.03 | 2.12 | +4.7% | -3.2% | -1.9% | -2.5% | -9.3% |
| 2024-05-16 beat | 1.99 | 2.09 | +5.3% | +1.1% | -0.9% | +4.2% | +16.9% |
| 2024-02-15 beat | 1.91 | 2.13 | +11.8% | +7.7% | +6.3% | +2.0% | +0.9% |
| 2023-11-16 beat | 1.99 | 2.12 | +6.4% | -8.2% | -4.0% | +1.5% | +9.2% |
| 2023-08-17 beat | 1.75 | 1.90 | +8.9% | -0.2% | +3.7% | +1.2% | -3.5% |
| 2023-05-18 beat | 1.83 | 2.00 | +9.5% | -1.2% | -2.3% | +7.2% | +7.7% |
| 2023-02-16 beat | 1.92 | 2.03 | +5.7% | +1.2% | +0.0% | -2.9% | +4.3% |
| 2022-11-17 beat | 1.74 | 2.03 | +16.9% | +5.3% | +0.2% | -1.2% | -1.1% |
| 2022-08-18 beat | 1.78 | 1.94 | +8.7% | -1.5% | -3.4% | -5.6% | -15.8% |
| 2022-05-19 miss | 1.90 | 1.85 | -2.8% | +1.1% | -3.9% | +12.2% | -11.8% |
| 2022-02-16 beat | 1.85 | 1.89 | +1.9% | +1.3% | -3.2% | -0.5% | -1.7% |
| 2021-11-18 miss | 1.96 | 1.94 | -0.9% | -4.9% | -5.5% | +0.8% | +0.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.