AMAT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.6% | -3.5% | 6.2% | 20% |
| Day 2 | +1.2% | +1.2% | 2.8% | 90% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -0.8% | 1.9% | 20% |
| 5-day | -3.5% | -5.2% | 7.9% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 beat | 3.39 | 3.50 | +3.1% | -6.6% | -5.1% | -2.9% | — |
| 2026-05-14 beat | 2.69 | 2.86 | +6.5% | -2.8% | -0.9% | -1.0% | +30.1% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 2.21 | 2.38 | +7.9% | +11.1% | +8.1% | +5.3% | -0.7% |
| 2025-11-13 beat | 2.09 | 2.17 | +3.6% | -8.7% | +1.2% | -0.9% | +14.5% |
| 2025-08-14 beat | 2.36 | 2.48 | +5.1% | -13.6% | -14.1% | +0.5% | +7.3% |
| 2025-05-15 beat | 2.31 | 2.39 | +3.5% | -3.6% | -5.3% | -4.9% | +5.1% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 2.30 | 2.38 | +3.7% | -5.1% | -8.2% | -0.4% | -9.3% |
| 2024-11-14 beat | 2.19 | 2.32 | +5.7% | -9.5% | -9.2% | +3.6% | +0.9% |
| 2024-08-15 beat | 2.03 | 2.12 | +4.7% | -3.2% | -1.9% | -2.5% | -9.3% |
| 2024-05-16 beat | 1.99 | 2.09 | +5.3% | +1.1% | -0.9% | +4.2% | +16.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.