AMGN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.5% | +3.0% | 6.2% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.6% | 2.1% | 20% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.8% | 2.2% | 60% |
| 5-day | +2.8% | +2.0% | 6.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 5.62 | 6.29 | +12.0% | +0.9% | +4.6% | +2.0% | +8.9% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 4.77 | 5.15 | +8.0% | -4.0% | -4.7% | +0.6% | -0.5% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 4.73 | 5.29 | +11.9% | +4.0% | +8.2% | +0.1% | +0.9% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 5.01 | 5.64 | +12.5% | +2.2% | +7.8% | +5.1% | +3.1% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 5.28 | 6.02 | +14.1% | -1.5% | -5.1% | +1.6% | -0.4% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 4.26 | 4.90 | +15.0% | +2.7% | -0.9% | -5.5% | +3.0% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 5.08 | 5.31 | +4.6% | +0.6% | +6.5% | -4.1% | +5.5% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 5.11 | 5.58 | +9.3% | +0.7% | +1.5% | +0.5% | -13.1% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 5.00 | 4.97 | -0.6% | -2.4% | -5.0% | +3.3% | +2.6% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 3.89 | 3.96 | +1.8% | +12.6% | +11.8% | -0.4% | -1.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.