AMP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | +0.1% | 3.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.3% | 1.5% | 55% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +0.7% | 1.6% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.0% | -0.4% | 5.2% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 10.81 | 11.07 | +2.4% | +0.9% | -1.3% | +4.7% | +6.8% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 10.21 | 11.26 | +10.2% | -0.1% | +1.0% | +0.7% | -1.9% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 10.31 | 10.83 | +5.0% | +7.6% | +4.3% | +2.6% | -8.8% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 9.76 | 9.87 | +1.1% | -3.3% | -5.1% | +0.8% | +0.2% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 9.00 | 9.11 | +1.2% | -3.3% | -3.7% | +0.2% | +0.0% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 9.08 | 9.50 | +4.6% | +3.2% | +0.5% | -0.7% | +6.4% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 8.79 | 10.58 | +20.4% | +1.1% | -4.7% | -1.1% | -2.9% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | 8.92 | 8.10 | -9.2% | -3.8% | -3.1% | +1.2% | +13.5% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 8.53 | 8.53 | +0.0% | -0.5% | +4.1% | -5.3% | -0.5% |
| 2024-04-22 beat | 8.20 | 8.39 | +2.3% | -0.3% | -3.2% | +1.0% | +7.4% |
| 2024-01-24 miss | 7.70 | 7.20 | -6.4% | -5.0% | +0.5% | -1.4% | +4.2% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 7.60 | 7.68 | +1.1% | +0.1% | +3.0% | +4.8% | +10.5% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 7.39 | 7.44 | +0.7% | +0.5% | -1.7% | +1.1% | -4.1% |
| 2023-04-24 beat | 7.20 | 7.25 | +0.6% | -4.2% | -7.3% | +1.4% | +1.0% |
| 2023-01-25 beat | 6.48 | 6.94 | +7.1% | +1.8% | +1.3% | +0.1% | -2.2% |
| 2022-10-25 miss | 5.85 | 5.24 | -10.4% | +3.3% | +5.1% | +5.6% | +13.6% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 5.55 | 5.81 | +4.7% | +2.1% | +6.2% | +5.3% | +10.6% |
| 2022-04-25 beat | 5.90 | 5.98 | +1.4% | -3.9% | -5.8% | +2.9% | +0.3% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 5.73 | 6.15 | +7.4% | +0.4% | +1.6% | +0.2% | -1.3% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 5.49 | 5.86 | +6.7% | +2.6% | -0.3% | +4.7% | -1.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.