AMP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.1% | -2.2% | 3.5% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.5% | 1.4% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.3% | 1.2% | 40% |
| 5-day | -0.8% | -1.7% | 3.9% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 10.81 | 11.07 | +2.4% | +0.9% | -1.3% | +4.7% | +6.8% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 10.21 | 11.26 | +10.2% | -0.1% | +1.0% | +0.7% | -1.9% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 10.31 | 10.83 | +5.0% | +7.6% | +4.3% | +2.6% | -8.8% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 9.76 | 9.87 | +1.1% | -3.3% | -5.1% | +0.8% | +0.2% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 9.00 | 9.11 | +1.2% | -3.3% | -3.7% | +0.2% | +0.0% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 9.08 | 9.50 | +4.6% | +3.2% | +0.5% | -0.7% | +6.4% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 8.79 | 10.58 | +20.4% | +1.1% | -4.7% | -1.1% | -2.9% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | 8.92 | 8.10 | -9.2% | -3.8% | -3.1% | +1.2% | +13.5% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 8.53 | 8.53 | +0.0% | -0.5% | +4.1% | -5.3% | -0.5% |
| 2024-04-22 beat | 8.20 | 8.39 | +2.3% | -0.3% | -3.2% | +1.0% | +7.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.