AMRC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.8% | +2.4% | 23.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -2.4% | -0.8% | 7.9% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -2.4% | -2.0% | 4.4% | 20% |
| 5-day | -0.4% | -0.5% | 21.7% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +0.1% | +40.5% | +22.9% | -7.3% | -21.9% |
| 2026-05-04 miss | -0.29 | -0.33 | -13.6% | -5.6% | -2.3% | -5.0% | +6.4% |
| 2026-03-02 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +9.2% | +0.2% | -9.9% | -5.5% | -11.6% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 0.30 | 0.35 | +16.0% | -8.5% | -9.3% | -3.3% | -6.1% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 0.07 | 0.27 | +274.6% | +29.6% | +49.0% | -20.9% | +4.5% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | -0.25 | -0.11 | +56.5% | +20.4% | +11.8% | +12.1% | +14.2% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.80 | 0.88 | +9.4% | -11.1% | -35.6% | -6.0% | +2.4% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 0.53 | 0.32 | -39.1% | +1.1% | -16.3% | -3.7% | +0.4% |
| 2024-08-05 miss | 0.26 | 0.10 | -61.8% | -0.9% | +7.0% | -0.9% | +10.1% |
| 2024-05-07 miss | -0.06 | -0.10 | -56.9% | +7.0% | +21.1% | +4.1% | +24.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.