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AMRN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -5.0% | -3.5% | 9.7% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -1.4% | -0.6% | 4.7% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -0.7% | 4.1% | 33% |
| 5-day | -6.1% | -6.4% | 15.6% | 27% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 beat | -0.02 | — | +100.0% | +2.1% | +6.7% | -3.9% | — |
| 2026-07-29 miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -100.0% | +0.2% | +1.5% | +1.8% | -0.6% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 0.17 | — | -100.0% | -0.4% | +2.4% | +4.3% | +1.4% |
| 2026-02-25 miss | 0.07 | 0.01 | -85.7% | -1.0% | -9.5% | +3.5% | +4.4% |
| 2025-10-29 | — | 0.19 | — | -2.3% | -11.2% | -8.9% | -5.0% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | -0.61 | 0.87 | +242.6% | +2.3% | +2.2% | +0.5% | +2.9% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | -0.77 | -0.80 | -3.9% | -1.9% | -0.1% | -0.3% | +25.0% |
| 2025-03-12 beat | -0.60 | -0.40 | +33.3% | -12.8% | -14.9% | +15.0% | +12.5% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | -1.20 | -1.00 | +16.7% | +0.0% | -3.3% | +0.0% | -8.6% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | -1.20 | 0.20 | +116.7% | +1.3% | -12.8% | -2.9% | -10.3% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | -0.60 | -0.20 | +66.7% | -7.6% | -8.7% | +2.4% | +3.6% |
| 2024-02-29 beat | -0.50 | — | +100.0% | -10.6% | -18.9% | -13.1% | -17.8% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | -0.40 | — | +100.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +8.6% | +7.1% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | -0.60 | 0.40 | +166.7% | -2.5% | +0.0% | -2.5% | -11.8% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | -0.27 | 0.40 | +250.0% | +1.4% | -3.5% | -6.6% | -5.9% |
| 2023-03-01 miss | 0.08 | 0.04 | -50.0% | -1.5% | +1.5% | -11.2% | -25.2% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | -1.25 | 0.07 | +105.6% | +0.8% | -3.4% | +2.6% | -1.8% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | -1.30 | -2.25 | -73.0% | -2.3% | -4.5% | +20.5% | -7.9% |
| 2022-05-04 miss | -0.10 | -1.60 | -1500.0% | -32.5% | -43.1% | -27.6% | +7.7% |
| 2022-03-01 beat | -0.53 | 0.71 | +235.5% | +1.2% | -3.6% | -6.3% | +2.2% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | -0.54 | 0.05 | +108.9% | -6.6% | -12.0% | -0.9% | -15.8% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | -0.63 | 0.40 | +163.7% | +2.5% | +9.5% | +16.0% | +8.8% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | -0.87 | — | +100.0% | +1.5% | +1.0% | -13.4% | -13.4% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | -0.07 | 0.20 | +391.6% | +1.9% | -4.8% | -17.7% | -12.8% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | 0.21 | -0.40 | -294.7% | -3.0% | -9.6% | -10.4% | +12.6% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | -1.46 | 0.20 | +113.7% | -3.2% | +3.8% | -6.3% | -28.3% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | -1.47 | -1.20 | +18.6% | +0.2% | -7.9% | -1.2% | -11.8% |
| 2020-02-25 beat | -0.46 | 0.40 | +187.8% | -3.4% | -7.0% | -1.5% | -15.8% |
| 2019-11-05 beat | -1.03 | -0.20 | +80.7% | +3.0% | -0.7% | +20.8% | +25.9% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | -0.28 | -0.20 | +28.6% | +3.3% | +0.8% | -9.3% | -17.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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