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AMRN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.7% | -0.9% | 9.0% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | -0.2% | 4.2% | 47% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 4.0% | 42% |
| 5-day | -2.0% | -2.5% | 13.3% | 42% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 beat | -0.02 | — | +100.0% | +2.1% | +6.7% | -3.9% | — |
| 2026-07-29 miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -100.0% | +0.2% | +1.5% | +1.8% | -0.6% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 0.17 | — | -100.0% | -0.4% | +2.4% | +4.3% | +1.4% |
| 2026-02-25 miss | 0.07 | 0.01 | -85.7% | -1.0% | -9.5% | +3.5% | +4.4% |
| 2025-10-29 | — | 0.19 | — | -2.3% | -11.2% | -8.9% | -5.0% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | -0.61 | 0.87 | +242.6% | +2.3% | +2.2% | +0.5% | +2.9% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | -0.77 | -0.80 | -3.9% | -1.9% | -0.1% | -0.3% | +25.0% |
| 2025-03-12 beat | -0.60 | -0.40 | +33.3% | -12.8% | -14.9% | +15.0% | +12.5% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | -1.20 | -1.00 | +16.7% | +0.0% | -3.3% | +0.0% | -8.6% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | -1.20 | 0.20 | +116.7% | +1.3% | -12.8% | -2.9% | -10.3% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | -0.60 | -0.20 | +66.7% | -7.6% | -8.7% | +2.4% | +3.6% |
| 2024-02-29 beat | -0.50 | — | +100.0% | -10.6% | -18.9% | -13.1% | -17.8% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | -0.40 | — | +100.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +8.6% | +7.1% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | -0.60 | 0.40 | +166.7% | -2.5% | +0.0% | -2.5% | -11.8% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | -0.27 | 0.40 | +250.0% | +1.4% | -3.5% | -6.6% | -5.9% |
| 2023-03-01 miss | 0.08 | 0.04 | -50.0% | -1.5% | +1.5% | -11.2% | -25.2% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | -1.25 | 0.07 | +105.6% | +0.8% | -3.4% | +2.6% | -1.8% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | -1.30 | -2.25 | -73.0% | -2.3% | -4.5% | +20.5% | -7.9% |
| 2022-05-04 miss | -0.10 | -1.60 | -1500.0% | -32.5% | -43.1% | -27.6% | +7.7% |
| 2022-03-01 beat | -0.53 | 0.71 | +235.5% | +1.2% | -3.6% | -6.3% | +2.2% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | -0.54 | 0.05 | +108.9% | -6.6% | -12.0% | -0.9% | -15.8% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | -0.63 | 0.40 | +163.7% | +2.5% | +9.5% | +16.0% | +8.8% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | -0.87 | — | +100.0% | +1.5% | +1.0% | -13.4% | -13.4% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | -0.07 | 0.20 | +391.6% | +1.9% | -4.8% | -17.7% | -12.8% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | 0.21 | -0.40 | -294.7% | -3.0% | -9.6% | -10.4% | +12.6% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | -1.46 | 0.20 | +113.7% | -3.2% | +3.8% | -6.3% | -28.3% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | -1.47 | -1.20 | +18.6% | +0.2% | -7.9% | -1.2% | -11.8% |
| 2020-02-25 beat | -0.46 | 0.40 | +187.8% | -3.4% | -7.0% | -1.5% | -15.8% |
| 2019-11-05 beat | -1.03 | -0.20 | +80.7% | +3.0% | -0.7% | +20.8% | +25.9% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | -0.28 | -0.20 | +28.6% | +3.3% | +0.8% | -9.3% | -17.0% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | -2.05 | -1.40 | +31.7% | -1.3% | -6.3% | -0.4% | +1.2% |
| 2019-02-27 miss | -1.27 | -2.20 | -73.7% | +0.0% | +5.8% | +1.6% | -12.9% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | -1.87 | -1.60 | +14.3% | +0.2% | +8.7% | -5.9% | -22.0% |
| 2018-08-01 miss | -1.93 | -2.40 | -24.1% | +3.9% | +7.8% | +3.6% | +18.2% |
| 2018-05-02 miss | -1.40 | -1.60 | -14.3% | +3.6% | +3.2% | +9.7% | +16.3% |
| 2018-02-27 miss | -1.00 | -1.60 | -60.0% | -1.1% | -3.8% | -5.9% | -16.0% |
| 2017-11-01 beat | -0.93 | -0.80 | +14.3% | +2.6% | +2.1% | +1.7% | -7.8% |
| 2017-08-02 beat | -1.13 | -1.00 | +11.8% | +7.8% | +2.2% | -8.5% | -7.1% |
| 2017-05-03 miss | -1.33 | -1.60 | -20.0% | -0.6% | -5.0% | -2.7% | +0.3% |
| 2017-02-28 miss | -1.53 | -1.80 | -17.5% | +0.6% | -0.9% | -4.4% | -4.4% |
| 2016-11-03 miss | -1.47 | -1.60 | -9.1% | +0.0% | -11.3% | +12.0% | +18.5% |
| 2016-08-04 beat | -2.50 | -2.03 | +18.7% | -5.1% | -1.2% | -6.4% | -11.0% |
| 2016-05-05 miss | -2.13 | -2.80 | -31.2% | -2.8% | -8.3% | -6.1% | +38.2% |
| 2016-02-25 beat | -2.33 | -2.00 | +14.3% | +7.7% | -1.4% | +6.4% | +1.4% |
| 2015-11-04 miss | -2.40 | -2.80 | -16.7% | -0.5% | +0.5% | +3.0% | +1.5% |
| 2015-08-06 miss | -2.40 | -3.00 | -25.0% | +2.5% | +14.2% | +0.4% | +2.1% |
| 2015-05-08 miss | -2.23 | -3.20 | -43.5% | -3.5% | -6.6% | +4.3% | +28.1% |
| 2015-03-03 beat | -2.65 | -2.20 | +17.0% | +6.5% | +9.7% | +14.8% | +39.6% |
| 2014-11-06 miss | -2.63 | -3.40 | -29.1% | +2.0% | -4.1% | +1.1% | +8.5% |
| 2014-08-07 beat | -2.92 | -2.80 | +4.1% | +1.2% | +0.0% | +9.6% | +19.3% |
| 2014-05-09 beat | -3.69 | -3.20 | +13.3% | +2.6% | -3.2% | -9.3% | -0.7% |
| 2014-02-27 miss | -4.25 | -5.20 | -22.4% | -1.7% | -2.2% | +6.3% | +4.0% |
| 2013-11-07 beat | -6.20 | -5.00 | +19.4% | +14.2% | +11.3% | -1.3% | +12.7% |
| 2013-08-08 beat | -8.19 | -7.20 | +12.1% | -2.1% | +1.5% | +11.3% | +33.4% |
| 2013-05-09 beat | -8.53 | -8.20 | +3.9% | +1.8% | +6.1% | -1.5% | -3.2% |
| 2013-02-28 miss | -5.81 | -6.22 | -7.0% | -1.1% | -6.7% | +12.3% | +2.1% |
| 2012-11-08 miss | -4.12 | -5.20 | -26.1% | +4.8% | +9.3% | -3.3% | -19.7% |
| 2012-08-08 miss | -2.88 | -4.00 | -38.9% | +3.8% | +13.9% | -5.6% | +11.5% |
| 2012-05-08 miss | -1.77 | -2.90 | -63.7% | -1.9% | -0.9% | -2.9% | +0.8% |
| 2012-02-29 miss | -1.80 | -1.98 | -10.0% | +4.5% | +13.2% | -15.3% | +29.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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