AORT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | +0.2% | 11.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | -0.4% | 3.7% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.1% | 3.2% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.8% | +1.8% | 14.1% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +34.5% | +1.2% | +2.1% | +7.4% | -7.3% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 0.12 | 0.08 | -35.1% | -22.9% | -28.3% | -10.4% | -17.8% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -3.4% | -4.2% | -10.0% | +2.2% | +2.4% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +5.3% | -1.8% | -5.5% | +1.8% | -3.6% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.13 | 0.24 | +92.0% | +17.7% | +25.2% | +4.5% | +3.7% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +33.3% | +5.0% | +15.4% | +5.4% | +6.2% |
| 2025-02-24 miss | 0.04 | — | -100.0% | -7.4% | -8.2% | -1.9% | -3.3% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.01 | 0.12 | +1100.0% | +1.8% | -0.9% | -7.2% | +3.9% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +162.5% | +2.4% | -1.9% | +0.8% | -1.6% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 0.02 | 0.06 | +157.2% | +8.7% | +12.8% | -1.4% | -0.5% |
| 2024-02-15 | — | 0.11 | — | +7.6% | +4.3% | +7.0% | +8.4% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | 0.03 | 0.02 | -33.3% | +5.0% | +9.9% | -6.3% | +24.7% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.02 | 0.06 | +200.0% | +2.0% | -1.6% | +2.2% | -6.4% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -0.02 | 0.02 | +188.9% | +12.2% | +13.8% | -2.1% | +1.7% |
| 2023-02-16 beat | -0.02 | 0.10 | +671.4% | +15.0% | +5.8% | -7.0% | -13.2% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -11.1% | -2.0% | -1.9% | +9.0% | +16.5% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 0.03 | -0.03 | -190.0% | -3.7% | -2.6% | +7.2% | -2.8% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | -0.01 | 0.03 | +549.8% | +2.0% | -4.3% | -10.5% | -1.9% |
| 2022-02-17 miss | 0.04 | — | -100.0% | -0.9% | +1.4% | +10.1% | +16.3% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 0.03 | -0.03 | -200.0% | +1.4% | +4.6% | -8.7% | -16.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.