AOS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | -0.3% | 5.4% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.2% | 2.3% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +1.1% | 1.5% | 75% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | -0.8% | 7.4% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.92 | 1.03 | +11.5% | +3.9% | -3.6% | +5.3% | +1.0% |
| 2026-04-30 miss | 0.94 | 0.85 | -9.9% | +1.5% | -2.9% | -2.6% | -9.8% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 0.84 | 0.90 | +7.0% | +3.9% | +5.3% | +6.8% | +6.5% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.91 | 0.94 | +3.6% | -0.5% | -2.6% | -2.5% | -0.8% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.99 | 1.07 | +7.9% | +3.0% | +3.6% | -4.3% | -0.4% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 0.91 | 0.95 | +4.3% | +2.4% | +3.5% | +0.7% | -3.4% |
| 2025-01-30 miss | 0.89 | 0.85 | -4.8% | -3.9% | -2.8% | -2.7% | -1.4% |
| 2024-10-22 miss | 0.82 | 0.82 | -0.1% | +1.3% | -0.5% | -2.4% | -8.3% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 1.06 | 1.06 | +0.0% | -8.9% | -9.4% | +6.2% | +1.8% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.99 | 1.00 | +1.4% | -3.6% | -4.8% | +0.9% | +2.4% |
| 2024-01-30 beat | 0.96 | 0.97 | +1.4% | -3.5% | -2.4% | -1.9% | +4.0% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.79 | 0.90 | +13.4% | +1.9% | +6.0% | +3.2% | +9.9% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.90 | 1.01 | +11.8% | -1.2% | -1.9% | -1.9% | -5.3% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.78 | 0.94 | +20.1% | +3.1% | +1.6% | +0.9% | -2.8% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 0.79 | 0.86 | +8.9% | +7.4% | +13.7% | -1.6% | -0.1% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 0.69 | 0.69 | -0.0% | +2.2% | -0.1% | +4.8% | +15.1% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.81 | 0.82 | +1.3% | +2.2% | +0.7% | +0.5% | -4.2% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.75 | 0.77 | +2.8% | -1.0% | -4.8% | -1.6% | +2.3% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 0.77 | 0.87 | +13.2% | +3.1% | +1.5% | -2.3% | -9.6% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.68 | 0.82 | +20.4% | +4.3% | +10.0% | +10.1% | +14.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.