AOS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.4% | +1.4% | 4.7% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.1% | 2.1% | 42% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 1.7% | 52% |
| 5-day | +2.1% | +1.4% | 6.5% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.92 | 1.03 | +11.5% | +3.9% | -3.6% | +5.3% | +1.0% |
| 2026-04-30 miss | 0.94 | 0.85 | -9.9% | +1.5% | -2.9% | -2.6% | -9.8% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 0.84 | 0.90 | +7.0% | +3.9% | +5.3% | +6.8% | +6.5% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.91 | 0.94 | +3.6% | -0.5% | -2.6% | -2.5% | -0.8% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.99 | 1.07 | +7.9% | +3.0% | +3.6% | -4.3% | -0.4% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 0.91 | 0.95 | +4.3% | +2.4% | +3.5% | +0.7% | -3.4% |
| 2025-01-30 miss | 0.89 | 0.85 | -4.8% | -3.9% | -2.8% | -2.7% | -1.4% |
| 2024-10-22 miss | 0.82 | 0.82 | -0.1% | +1.3% | -0.5% | -2.4% | -8.3% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 1.06 | 1.06 | +0.0% | -8.9% | -9.4% | +6.2% | +1.8% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.99 | 1.00 | +1.4% | -3.6% | -4.8% | +0.9% | +2.4% |
| 2024-01-30 beat | 0.96 | 0.97 | +1.4% | -3.5% | -2.4% | -1.9% | +4.0% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.79 | 0.90 | +13.4% | +1.9% | +6.0% | +3.2% | +9.9% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.90 | 1.01 | +11.8% | -1.2% | -1.9% | -1.9% | -5.3% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.78 | 0.94 | +20.1% | +3.1% | +1.6% | +0.9% | -2.8% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 0.79 | 0.86 | +8.9% | +7.4% | +13.7% | -1.6% | -0.1% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 0.69 | 0.69 | -0.0% | +2.2% | -0.1% | +4.8% | +15.1% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.81 | 0.82 | +1.3% | +2.2% | +0.7% | +0.5% | -4.2% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.75 | 0.77 | +2.8% | -1.0% | -4.8% | -1.6% | +2.3% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 0.77 | 0.87 | +13.2% | +3.1% | +1.5% | -2.3% | -9.6% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.68 | 0.82 | +20.4% | +4.3% | +10.0% | +10.1% | +14.4% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.65 | 0.73 | +12.2% | +0.9% | +1.5% | +1.3% | +2.8% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +5.3% | -0.4% | +2.8% | +4.3% | +3.9% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 0.58 | 0.74 | +26.5% | +4.3% | +7.0% | +3.0% | +6.6% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.52 | 0.66 | +27.7% | +3.0% | +3.7% | +0.8% | +5.5% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +7.3% | -1.9% | -9.1% | +0.3% | +1.9% |
| 2020-05-05 miss | 0.35 | 0.32 | -8.6% | +1.0% | +0.4% | -0.2% | +19.9% |
| 2020-01-28 miss | 0.59 | 0.56 | -5.8% | +2.1% | +3.8% | -5.9% | -11.8% |
| 2019-10-29 miss | 0.53 | 0.53 | -0.4% | -3.6% | -4.1% | +5.4% | -1.0% |
| 2019-07-30 miss | 0.63 | 0.61 | -2.7% | -4.5% | +3.4% | -0.9% | -0.4% |
| 2019-04-30 miss | 0.57 | 0.53 | -7.5% | -4.0% | -5.8% | -2.2% | -21.6% |
| 2019-01-29 beat | 0.71 | 0.74 | +4.5% | -2.0% | -0.7% | +3.6% | +8.5% |
| 2018-10-30 miss | 0.63 | 0.61 | -2.7% | -3.5% | +8.1% | +4.0% | +2.4% |
| 2018-07-25 beat | 0.62 | 0.66 | +6.5% | -1.5% | -2.0% | +0.4% | -0.5% |
| 2018-04-25 beat | 0.58 | 0.60 | +4.0% | +2.2% | -1.0% | -1.2% | +4.8% |
| 2018-01-30 beat | 0.56 | 0.60 | +6.6% | -3.9% | -0.6% | -6.2% | -6.6% |
| 2017-10-25 beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +1.5% | -1.1% | -4.6% | +1.4% | +2.5% |
| 2017-07-26 beat | 0.53 | 0.53 | +0.5% | -0.6% | -1.5% | +0.4% | -1.3% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +6.6% | +1.0% | +2.7% | +0.7% | -0.6% |
| 2017-02-02 beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +2.2% | -3.1% | -2.6% | +5.7% | +5.1% |
| 2016-10-26 beat | 0.45 | 0.47 | +4.1% | -0.3% | -2.9% | -3.0% | +8.4% |
| 2016-07-26 beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +8.2% | +3.7% | +5.6% | -1.4% | +1.7% |
| 2016-04-27 beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +8.5% | +1.3% | -1.1% | -3.2% | +4.8% |
| 2016-01-29 beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +7.3% | -1.5% | +2.9% | -6.1% | +4.5% |
| 2015-10-21 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +4.1% | +1.7% | -3.0% | +11.3% | +14.8% |
| 2015-07-23 beat | 0.33 | 0.40 | +20.0% | +9.5% | +5.6% | -0.9% | -9.7% |
| 2015-04-24 beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +4.4% | +1.3% | +1.4% | -1.5% | +5.6% |
| 2015-01-27 beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +5.1% | +0.1% | +6.9% | +1.9% | +6.3% |
| 2014-10-21 beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +5.2% | +0.3% | +4.4% | +5.4% | +6.7% |
| 2014-07-22 beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +10.2% | +2.9% | +7.5% | -6.1% | -2.4% |
| 2014-04-22 beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +2.4% | +0.9% | -0.2% | +0.1% | +3.3% |
| 2014-01-28 beat | 0.26 | 0.26 | +1.4% | -1.6% | -2.3% | -4.4% | +3.2% |
| 2013-10-21 beat | 0.22 | 0.27 | +24.9% | +6.5% | +7.7% | +0.6% | +6.2% |
| 2013-07-24 beat | 0.22 | 0.26 | +20.7% | +4.5% | +2.5% | +0.3% | +4.3% |
| 2013-04-23 beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +22.1% | +5.2% | +5.0% | +2.8% | +5.8% |
| 2013-01-24 beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +11.7% | +2.3% | +2.7% | +0.0% | -1.2% |
| 2012-10-17 beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +1.9% | +1.7% | +3.1% | +3.4% | +4.6% |
| 2012-07-18 beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +12.3% | +1.8% | +6.1% | -6.0% | +2.4% |
| 2012-04-20 beat | 0.15 | 0.26 | +67.7% | +4.2% | +6.0% | +3.2% | -5.4% |
| 2012-01-27 beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +7.3% | -0.1% | +1.3% | +6.6% | +7.6% |
| 2011-10-21 miss | 0.12 | 0.10 | -18.0% | +0.3% | +10.6% | +6.5% | -2.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.