APG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +0.8% | 3.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.7% | 3.5% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | +0.1% | 2.3% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +0.2% | 8.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +1.3% | +6.2% | +2.0% | +5.2% | +1.2% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +5.3% | -1.0% | -6.0% | -2.4% | -11.2% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +6.4% | +1.1% | -0.5% | -3.6% | -8.9% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +3.7% | +2.7% | +1.8% | +2.9% | +11.1% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +4.2% | +3.9% | +4.8% | -3.7% | -1.1% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +2.9% | +7.1% | +6.6% | +8.9% | +16.1% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +2.6% | +0.3% | -0.3% | -7.2% | -8.2% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.34 | 0.34 | +0.3% | -0.9% | +2.8% | +7.6% | +10.3% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +4.0% | -6.9% | -4.3% | -7.1% | -1.9% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +2.6% | -0.5% | -1.3% | +0.7% | -4.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.