APH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | +2.0% | 4.8% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +1.9% | +1.1% | 2.4% | 80% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.1% | 2.0% | 50% |
| 5-day | +3.3% | +3.1% | 8.7% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 1.19 | 1.35 | +13.2% | +5.9% | +4.5% | +14.6% | +7.4% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 0.95 | 1.06 | +12.0% | +7.2% | +3.2% | -6.7% | +0.3% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 0.94 | 0.97 | +3.1% | -15.2% | -12.2% | -10.9% | +0.1% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 0.80 | 0.93 | +16.5% | +8.8% | +3.6% | +8.4% | +1.1% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 0.67 | 0.81 | +21.7% | +5.4% | -1.1% | +4.7% | +8.0% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.52 | 0.63 | +21.0% | +15.6% | +8.2% | +8.2% | +19.8% |
| 2025-01-22 beat | 0.50 | 0.55 | +9.2% | +4.0% | +7.0% | -10.9% | -13.2% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 0.45 | 0.50 | +10.4% | +1.7% | +2.4% | -0.2% | +7.0% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +7.6% | -5.6% | -6.4% | +3.7% | +7.7% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +8.9% | +4.3% | +1.8% | +2.5% | +17.3% |
| 2024-01-24 beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +7.0% | +3.2% | +2.8% | +0.4% | +6.8% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +5.3% | +0.1% | +0.5% | +2.5% | +13.4% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +5.9% | +1.0% | +5.1% | -0.2% | -3.5% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +2.9% | -1.5% | -1.3% | +1.2% | +0.0% |
| 2023-01-25 beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +4.4% | -5.7% | -0.1% | +2.2% | -3.6% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +6.7% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +1.1% | +9.8% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +11.0% | +2.8% | +7.1% | +3.7% | +5.3% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +9.3% | +1.2% | +2.3% | +5.4% | -0.3% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 0.31 | 0.35 | +13.3% | +3.6% | +0.4% | +5.4% | +0.7% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +3.5% | -2.0% | -3.8% | +3.4% | +7.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.