APP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +9.1% | +11.9% | 19.5% | 80% |
| Day 2 | +3.3% | +2.7% | 6.6% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | -0.7% | 3.5% | 40% |
| 5-day | +11.0% | +10.1% | 25.6% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 3.74 | 3.76 | +0.4% | -19.0% | -19.7% | -6.9% | -4.5% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 3.64 | 3.76 | +3.5% | -3.0% | +6.4% | -2.7% | +13.0% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 3.11 | 3.48 | +11.9% | -11.6% | -19.7% | +14.1% | +23.5% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 2.53 | 2.55 | +0.6% | +5.6% | +0.7% | -10.5% | +11.0% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 2.32 | 2.36 | +1.7% | +1.7% | +12.0% | -0.9% | +25.1% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 1.96 | 2.38 | +21.8% | +13.4% | +11.9% | +8.0% | +13.0% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 1.83 | 2.07 | +13.3% | +31.3% | +24.0% | -11.9% | -34.9% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 1.23 | 1.47 | +19.6% | +36.5% | +46.3% | +15.4% | +38.9% |
| 2024-08-07 miss | 1.26 | 1.17 | -7.2% | +4.3% | +14.2% | +11.5% | +12.5% |
| 2024-05-08 miss | 1.05 | 0.92 | -12.4% | +12.5% | +14.4% | -1.7% | -5.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.