APT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -5.3% | -7.3% | 6.0% | 20% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.6% | 4.1% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -1.0% | +1.1% | 9.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | -5.8% | -5.8% | 9.8% | 20% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-06 miss | 0.33 | 0.27 | -18.2% | -3.1% | -8.5% | +1.4% | +4.1% |
| 2021-03-09 beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +6.0% | -9.4% | -11.9% | +0.6% | -10.3% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.46 | 0.58 | +26.1% | +5.3% | +5.6% | -10.4% | -18.6% |
| 2011-11-09 miss | 0.16 | 0.02 | -87.5% | +0.0% | +2.5% | -2.5% | -0.8% |
| 2011-08-05 miss | 0.14 | 0.01 | -92.9% | +0.0% | -6.2% | +0.0% | +15.1% |
| 2011-05-06 miss | 0.06 | — | -106.7% | -0.9% | -1.7% | +6.1% | +1.8% |
| 2011-03-15 miss | 0.03 | — | -93.3% | -0.6% | -8.7% | -15.9% | -17.2% |
| 2010-11-08 miss | 0.04 | 0.01 | -75.0% | -10.5% | -10.5% | -5.9% | -5.9% |
| 2010-08-10 miss | 0.03 | 0.02 | -33.3% | -3.5% | -11.0% | +7.8% | +3.9% |
| 2010-05-05 beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +50.0% | +2.4% | -2.9% | +14.4% | -0.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.