AR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.1% | 5.1% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 3.4% | 48% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | -0.6% | 4.9% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | -0.4% | 8.4% | 48% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | 0.85 | 0.76 | -10.5% | -1.1% | +0.5% | -1.1% | +8.9% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 1.14 | 1.15 | +0.9% | -1.3% | +0.6% | -7.4% | -6.4% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | 0.52 | 0.43 | -17.9% | -2.8% | -3.7% | +5.1% | +21.4% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 0.25 | 0.16 | -37.3% | -4.5% | -5.0% | +8.7% | +19.1% |
| 2025-07-30 miss | 0.42 | 0.35 | -16.4% | +0.9% | +3.3% | -5.3% | -8.6% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | 0.88 | 0.78 | -11.0% | +0.1% | -0.5% | +7.9% | +11.5% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.29 | 0.57 | +100.2% | -1.6% | +2.0% | -5.0% | -3.1% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | -0.06 | -0.12 | -86.9% | -1.8% | -8.3% | +10.8% | +22.8% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | -0.16 | -0.19 | -18.8% | +1.9% | -0.9% | -7.7% | -6.2% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +167.3% | +1.8% | +6.2% | -2.2% | -0.3% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +7.0% | +6.9% | +10.9% | +7.2% | +8.8% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.05 | 0.08 | +55.4% | -2.3% | +4.8% | +3.3% | -17.5% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | -0.28 | -0.28 | +0.0% | +3.5% | +3.5% | +8.5% | +3.8% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | 0.52 | 0.50 | -3.0% | -0.6% | +0.1% | -7.9% | -0.7% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | 0.89 | 1.04 | +16.1% | -0.1% | -1.3% | -0.1% | -19.4% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | 1.88 | 1.63 | -13.2% | -0.4% | +0.9% | -1.1% | +0.3% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | 1.95 | 1.68 | -13.6% | +0.3% | -3.3% | -7.3% | +9.5% |
| 2022-04-27 miss | 1.18 | 1.15 | -2.9% | +1.5% | +7.0% | +5.1% | +24.7% |
| 2022-02-16 miss | 0.64 | 0.46 | -28.5% | +0.5% | +2.6% | +9.2% | +27.7% |
| 2021-10-27 miss | 0.33 | 0.19 | -42.9% | -1.4% | +1.6% | +1.0% | -8.8% |
| 2021-07-28 miss | 0.28 | 0.13 | -54.0% | -3.5% | -1.4% | -2.7% | +1.7% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 0.52 | 0.62 | +18.6% | +2.5% | -9.0% | +13.3% | +39.6% |
| 2021-02-17 miss | 0.04 | -0.03 | -168.0% | -4.9% | -8.4% | +3.2% | +9.5% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | -0.07 | 0.05 | +172.3% | -0.9% | +3.2% | -7.5% | +9.2% |
| 2020-07-29 miss | -0.15 | -0.37 | -140.3% | -7.8% | -2.6% | +24.3% | +16.7% |
| 2020-04-29 miss | 0.02 | -0.13 | -652.5% | +15.4% | +21.1% | -1.7% | +6.7% |
| 2020-02-12 beat | -0.09 | -0.02 | +77.0% | +0.6% | -0.6% | +0.0% | -31.8% |
| 2019-10-29 miss | -0.30 | -0.49 | -62.5% | +12.7% | -4.9% | +2.2% | -26.3% |
| 2019-07-31 miss | -0.13 | -0.21 | -64.4% | +0.4% | -2.2% | -16.6% | -29.7% |
| 2019-05-01 miss | 0.35 | 0.35 | -0.1% | +2.4% | +1.3% | +10.8% | -7.2% |
| 2019-02-13 beat | 0.37 | 0.46 | +25.4% | -0.7% | +0.0% | +6.3% | -4.2% |
| 2018-10-31 beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +4.5% | -0.1% | +3.7% | -0.2% | -19.4% |
| 2018-08-01 miss | 0.16 | 0.02 | -87.5% | -3.7% | -5.2% | -1.3% | -2.4% |
| 2018-04-25 beat | 0.37 | 0.44 | +17.8% | +0.7% | +1.0% | -5.3% | -5.9% |
| 2018-02-13 beat | 0.19 | 0.23 | +22.3% | -1.7% | +5.0% | +1.1% | +11.7% |
| 2017-11-01 miss | 0.04 | -0.04 | -190.9% | -5.4% | -4.0% | +4.6% | -1.5% |
| 2017-08-02 miss | 0.04 | -0.04 | -214.1% | -4.2% | -4.3% | -2.4% | +4.6% |
| 2017-05-08 beat | 0.10 | 0.18 | +72.7% | +2.3% | -1.8% | +0.0% | -0.6% |
| 2017-02-28 beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +11.8% | +1.8% | +2.0% | -0.8% | -6.4% |
| 2016-10-26 beat | 0.12 | 0.18 | +50.3% | +1.1% | +4.3% | -7.4% | -9.0% |
| 2016-08-02 beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +33.1% | +1.0% | +4.5% | -0.8% | -5.3% |
| 2016-04-27 miss | 0.19 | 0.17 | -12.4% | -6.9% | -5.7% | -7.8% | +0.1% |
| 2016-02-24 beat | 0.14 | 0.20 | +45.9% | +1.5% | -2.2% | +1.6% | +4.9% |
| 2015-10-28 beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +13.1% | +13.9% | +8.0% | +9.4% | -9.9% |
| 2015-07-29 beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +29.2% | -0.1% | -1.3% | -5.5% | -10.0% |
| 2015-04-29 beat | 0.22 | 0.27 | +25.4% | +5.0% | +4.0% | -1.6% | -10.8% |
| 2015-02-25 beat | 0.27 | 0.30 | +10.8% | -0.1% | -1.2% | -8.4% | -13.7% |
| 2014-11-05 miss | 0.33 | 0.27 | -17.3% | -1.1% | +0.9% | +0.7% | -26.9% |
| 2014-08-06 miss | 0.38 | 0.29 | -23.1% | -2.0% | -1.9% | -1.4% | -0.2% |
| 2014-05-07 miss | 0.35 | 0.34 | -2.9% | -1.7% | -5.5% | -1.1% | -1.1% |
| 2014-02-26 beat | 0.25 | 0.28 | +10.5% | +1.0% | +3.6% | +0.6% | +5.6% |
| 2013-11-06 miss | 0.20 | 0.19 | -2.9% | -0.6% | -1.9% | -0.4% | +0.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.