ARIS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.2% | -1.9% | 3.2% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.0% | 4.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.2% | 3.9% | 55% |
| 5-day | -1.1% | +0.0% | 8.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +9.9% | +2.6% | +2.5% | +10.3% | +42.2% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +2.1% | +2.2% | +0.4% | +3.7% | -18.5% |
| 2026-03-11 beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +6.2% | -1.0% | -2.3% | -13.1% | +7.8% |
| 2025-11-03 | 0.42 | — | — | -2.7% | -5.9% | +14.2% | +47.4% |
| 2025-08-11 miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -3.6% | -0.3% | -2.5% | -3.7% | +39.1% |
| 2025-05-06 miss | 0.17 | 0.16 | -4.5% | +0.3% | -2.0% | -3.8% | +8.4% |
| 2025-02-26 miss | 0.16 | 0.14 | -11.4% | -1.0% | -4.4% | +10.6% | +24.0% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +12.4% | +1.1% | -1.8% | -8.8% | -15.1% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.24 | 0.29 | +21.9% | +0.5% | -5.0% | +5.5% | +9.7% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.24 | 0.34 | +42.9% | +0.0% | +0.5% | -4.8% | -3.1% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +22.4% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +12.8% | +29.1% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | 0.16 | 0.11 | -31.2% | +1.8% | +1.6% | -1.4% | +27.1% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.13 | 0.22 | +75.4% | -0.4% | +0.0% | -7.1% | -3.0% |
| 2023-05-08 miss | 0.16 | 0.08 | -48.4% | +0.0% | +0.4% | -18.9% | -16.3% |
| 2023-03-06 miss | 0.22 | 0.09 | -58.6% | -1.6% | -3.5% | +3.4% | +15.1% |
| 2022-11-10 miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -2.3% | +2.1% | -5.0% | +10.1% | +9.6% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | 0.24 | 0.15 | -39.0% | +3.9% | +6.1% | -1.7% | -10.7% |
| 2022-05-09 beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +5.7% | -1.3% | -3.9% | -0.4% | -9.8% |
| 2022-02-28 beat | 0.14 | 0.23 | +63.5% | -3.8% | +2.7% | +0.4% | +2.0% |
| 2020-08-13 miss | 0.30 | -0.27 | -190.0% | +2.6% | -3.5% | -4.6% | +8.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.