ASC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +0.2% | 6.4% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.9% | 3.2% | 67% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.7% | 3.0% | 47% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | +0.0% | 10.4% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 1.11 | 1.18 | +6.8% | +6.1% | +2.2% | -1.9% | +5.4% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 0.54 | 0.58 | +8.4% | +3.6% | +0.4% | -0.6% | -12.9% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +3.7% | -4.1% | -3.5% | +15.5% | +9.0% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.27 | 0.31 | +14.8% | +1.4% | +1.5% | +4.3% | -5.1% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.18 | 0.22 | +20.0% | +1.6% | +1.3% | +3.1% | +9.1% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +12.0% | -0.5% | -1.7% | +2.1% | -1.4% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 0.21 | 0.25 | +20.5% | +3.2% | -7.1% | -6.4% | -5.8% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.55 | 0.55 | +0.4% | -1.7% | -3.9% | -9.6% | -14.2% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 1.06 | 1.13 | +6.4% | +5.6% | +3.6% | -11.6% | -12.6% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.86 | 0.92 | +6.7% | +1.9% | +15.6% | +9.6% | +8.5% |
| 2024-02-15 beat | 0.61 | 0.63 | +3.6% | -1.5% | -0.1% | -2.2% | +0.1% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | 0.44 | 0.49 | +10.7% | -0.1% | -4.1% | +2.4% | +4.4% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +2.7% | -1.8% | -2.3% | -1.7% | -6.8% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 1.00 | 1.04 | +3.6% | -0.4% | -6.3% | -3.2% | -5.4% |
| 2023-02-14 miss | 1.29 | 1.28 | -0.5% | +2.6% | +9.7% | -2.7% | -16.7% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 1.43 | 1.54 | +7.4% | +2.8% | -1.0% | -1.3% | +17.1% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 0.72 | 0.81 | +12.5% | +1.6% | +0.1% | +0.5% | +14.4% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | -0.10 | -0.03 | +70.0% | +2.5% | +2.4% | +1.2% | +12.6% |
| 2022-02-15 beat | -0.25 | -0.25 | +0.8% | +0.0% | +3.5% | +8.0% | +10.1% |
| 2021-11-10 miss | -0.36 | -0.37 | -1.4% | -2.4% | -4.4% | +2.8% | +3.3% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | -0.26 | -0.23 | +12.7% | -8.3% | -6.9% | +1.8% | -2.1% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | -0.29 | -0.26 | +11.0% | +3.9% | +6.9% | +5.5% | -1.8% |
| 2021-02-10 beat | -0.39 | -0.39 | +1.0% | +0.0% | +0.8% | +4.1% | +35.9% |
| 2020-11-04 miss | -0.19 | -0.20 | -6.4% | +0.7% | -7.5% | +22.9% | +27.3% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +1.9% | +2.6% | +6.2% | -9.6% | -12.7% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +18.8% | -8.8% | -11.6% | -15.3% | -10.0% |
| 2020-02-11 miss | 0.10 | 0.08 | -15.8% | +4.3% | +17.3% | -1.9% | -28.7% |
| 2019-11-05 beat | -0.20 | -0.17 | +16.8% | +4.1% | -0.4% | -2.2% | -2.1% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | -0.17 | -0.10 | +41.2% | +0.0% | +0.7% | -13.2% | -16.1% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | -0.12 | -0.08 | +31.2% | +3.7% | +5.3% | +3.3% | -4.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.