ASPN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | -4.3% | 32.4% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +2.1% | -1.0% | 9.7% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +1.1% | 4.5% | 60% |
| 5-day | +5.1% | -3.0% | 38.2% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | -0.20 | -0.22 | -7.7% | +45.7% | +37.5% | -11.9% | -28.6% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | -0.26 | -0.28 | -8.7% | +13.3% | +24.3% | +13.7% | +10.2% |
| 2026-02-25 miss | -0.22 | -0.34 | -53.9% | -27.5% | -27.8% | +30.4% | +33.1% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | — | -0.06 | -1479.0% | -31.6% | -44.5% | -21.7% | -20.0% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | -0.10 | -0.04 | +59.8% | +8.4% | -8.1% | -6.7% | -10.7% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | -0.07 | -0.06 | +14.3% | -24.7% | -24.3% | +32.0% | +43.2% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.09 | 0.15 | +65.5% | -22.4% | -23.4% | -10.7% | -18.3% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | -0.08 | 0.19 | +324.0% | +11.4% | -0.5% | -10.0% | -14.7% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 0.06 | 0.21 | +270.6% | +31.9% | +16.0% | +13.7% | +7.3% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | -0.09 | 0.01 | +113.0% | +30.0% | +56.7% | +12.0% | +25.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.