ASTS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +4.7% | -0.6% | 23.4% | 44% |
| Day 2 | +3.5% | +1.6% | 7.1% | 56% |
| Day 3 | +1.2% | -1.8% | 8.8% | 33% |
| 5-day | +4.3% | -0.9% | 26.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 miss | -0.33 | -0.77 | -132.0% | +1.4% | +4.2% | -6.4% | -16.4% |
| 2026-05-11 miss | -0.20 | -0.66 | -233.7% | -11.0% | -11.6% | +20.8% | +33.7% |
| 2026-03-02 miss | -0.20 | -0.26 | -30.0% | +1.3% | +6.6% | -5.6% | -9.4% |
| 2025-11-10 miss | -0.26 | -0.45 | -74.4% | -1.2% | -1.2% | -14.2% | +24.8% |
| 2025-08-11 miss | -0.22 | -0.41 | -89.2% | +11.6% | +8.4% | -9.7% | -22.9% |
| 2025-05-12 beat | -0.22 | -0.20 | +11.1% | -4.7% | -2.2% | -5.7% | +39.1% |
| 2025-03-03 beat | -0.18 | -0.12 | +29.2% | -4.3% | +11.7% | +0.2% | -21.7% |
| 2024-11-14 miss | -0.20 | -1.10 | -443.1% | -13.5% | -9.6% | -0.5% | +2.3% |
| 2024-08-14 miss | -0.22 | -0.51 | -133.4% | +4.8% | +50.7% | +8.9% | -4.8% |
| 2024-05-15 beat | -0.21 | -0.16 | +24.0% | +31.4% | +68.6% | +2.7% | +191.6% |
| 2024-04-01 miss | -0.24 | -0.37 | -57.1% | -11.0% | -23.6% | +14.9% | +12.4% |
| 2023-11-14 miss | -0.19 | -0.23 | -21.1% | +9.0% | +23.6% | -6.7% | +16.7% |
| 2023-08-14 miss | -0.16 | -0.24 | -50.0% | +3.9% | -15.7% | +2.3% | +4.2% |
| 2023-05-15 beat | -0.49 | -0.23 | +53.1% | +0.6% | -0.8% | +10.5% | +16.8% |
| 2023-03-31 beat | -0.19 | -0.14 | +26.3% | -23.8% | -20.9% | -11.8% | -8.7% |
| 2022-03-31 miss | -0.09 | -0.41 | -354.3% | +1.0% | +6.1% | -5.4% | -19.6% |
| 2021-11-15 beat | -1.03 | -0.68 | +33.8% | -5.6% | -0.4% | -14.4% | -34.4% |
| 2021-08-16 beat | -1.03 | 0.42 | +140.7% | +0.2% | -8.9% | +14.1% | +41.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.