ASUR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.3% | +2.5% | 14.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -1.3% | -2.5% | 5.3% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -1.0% | -0.8% | 3.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | -1.4% | -0.6% | 11.6% | 44% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 miss | 0.19 | 0.12 | -35.7% | +21.6% | +30.2% | — | — |
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +10.2% | -8.2% | -4.1% | +8.0% | +13.6% |
| 2026-04-30 miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -1.0% | +1.0% | +1.5% | +0.1% | +1.6% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.26 | 0.31 | +21.9% | +6.8% | +17.8% | +3.4% | -8.6% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 0.21 | 0.14 | -30.5% | +1.0% | +9.0% | -8.8% | -8.9% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 0.14 | 0.08 | -42.2% | -2.9% | -13.7% | -1.9% | -1.1% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +4.3% | -3.2% | +3.4% | -1.7% | -4.0% |
| 2025-03-06 miss | 0.18 | 0.15 | -12.8% | -5.9% | +12.9% | -12.9% | -18.5% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 0.19 | 0.14 | -26.1% | -19.4% | -14.2% | +10.3% | +13.2% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.13 | 0.09 | -27.8% | -10.0% | -9.9% | -9.0% | -6.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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