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ASUR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | -0.8% | 12.9% | 43% |
| Day 2 | -1.6% | -1.2% | 5.3% | 37% |
| Day 3 | +1.0% | +0.2% | 4.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | -2.5% | -1.7% | 10.5% | 41% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 miss | 0.19 | 0.12 | -35.7% | +21.6% | +30.2% | — | — |
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +10.2% | -8.2% | -4.1% | +8.0% | +13.6% |
| 2026-04-30 miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -1.0% | +1.0% | +1.5% | +0.1% | +1.6% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.26 | 0.31 | +21.9% | +6.8% | +17.8% | +3.4% | -8.6% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 0.21 | 0.14 | -30.5% | +1.0% | +9.0% | -8.8% | -8.9% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 0.14 | 0.08 | -42.2% | -2.9% | -13.7% | -1.9% | -1.1% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +4.3% | -3.2% | +3.4% | -1.7% | -4.0% |
| 2025-03-06 miss | 0.18 | 0.15 | -12.8% | -5.9% | +12.9% | -12.9% | -18.5% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 0.19 | 0.14 | -26.1% | -19.4% | -14.2% | +10.3% | +13.2% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.13 | 0.09 | -27.8% | -10.0% | -9.9% | -9.0% | -6.8% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +8.3% | -5.2% | -11.6% | +6.0% | +8.8% |
| 2024-02-26 beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +17.0% | -10.2% | -12.2% | +1.3% | -12.4% |
| 2023-11-13 beat | 0.06 | 0.24 | +333.7% | -14.0% | -20.2% | +14.6% | +16.7% |
| 2023-08-07 beat | 0.01 | 0.11 | +2148.0% | +9.5% | +10.9% | -4.2% | -21.7% |
| 2023-05-08 beat | 0.17 | 0.25 | +44.8% | +7.6% | +8.0% | -12.9% | -15.9% |
| 2023-02-27 beat | — | 0.17 | +5005.1% | +18.9% | +18.6% | +5.2% | +9.5% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | -0.04 | -0.01 | +71.4% | +6.0% | -0.3% | +4.5% | +23.9% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | -0.07 | -0.04 | +42.9% | -3.3% | +2.7% | -0.2% | -0.4% |
| 2022-05-09 beat | 0.06 | 0.11 | +94.1% | -1.6% | -1.2% | -0.5% | -1.7% |
| 2022-03-14 beat | -0.04 | 0.02 | +157.1% | +0.3% | -1.8% | -5.4% | -13.7% |
| 2021-11-08 beat | -0.02 | -0.01 | +53.9% | +2.3% | -2.0% | -7.7% | -10.7% |
| 2021-08-09 beat | -0.01 | — | +100.0% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -2.4% | -7.3% |
| 2021-05-10 beat | 0.07 | 0.12 | +71.4% | +0.8% | +4.4% | -1.6% | +1.8% |
| 2021-03-11 beat | -0.01 | — | +100.0% | -1.1% | -8.5% | -6.4% | -4.4% |
| 2020-11-09 miss | 0.02 | -0.03 | -287.5% | -7.5% | -3.5% | +4.3% | +3.6% |
| 2020-08-10 beat | -0.04 | 0.03 | +181.8% | +2.2% | -10.9% | -4.3% | +4.9% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | 0.16 | 0.21 | +28.1% | +4.9% | +8.4% | -7.1% | +3.4% |
| 2020-03-12 miss | 0.04 | -0.10 | -385.7% | -0.2% | +23.0% | -10.3% | -7.3% |
| 2019-11-11 beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +25.7% | -11.3% | -6.6% | -0.9% | -4.9% |
| 2019-08-08 beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +12.3% | -10.3% | -26.7% | +6.1% | +5.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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