ASX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | +1.0% | 5.7% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +2.2% | +2.0% | 2.4% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +1.4% | +1.2% | 3.1% | 70% |
| 5-day | +6.2% | +5.5% | 10.5% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.20 | 0.29 | +43.4% | +3.9% | +11.7% | +7.1% | +8.7% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +16.3% | +1.1% | +1.7% | +11.7% | +25.4% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +6.2% | -2.3% | +6.7% | +15.8% | +6.9% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +20.3% | +2.2% | +4.2% | +2.2% | -1.4% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 0.14 | 0.11 | -23.1% | -4.2% | -8.0% | +4.3% | +4.3% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | 0.12 | 0.10 | -16.7% | -1.1% | +0.3% | +4.2% | +7.4% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | 0.15 | 0.13 | -15.4% | +3.2% | +5.6% | +1.2% | -9.6% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 0.15 | 0.13 | -11.3% | +3.0% | -2.4% | +6.2% | +4.7% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.11 | 0.11 | +1.0% | +1.0% | -2.3% | -8.1% | -4.3% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -11.7% | -3.5% | -2.1% | +0.1% | +9.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.