ATO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.0% | 2.3% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 1.3% | 37% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.3% | 0.9% | 63% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | +0.6% | 3.2% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 1.35 | 1.43 | +5.6% | +0.7% | -0.1% | -1.2% | -2.6% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 3.41 | 3.47 | +1.8% | +1.1% | -1.6% | -0.5% | -7.7% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 2.44 | 2.44 | +0.1% | +1.4% | +1.8% | +2.4% | +7.7% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 1.00 | 1.07 | +6.8% | +2.6% | +1.7% | +1.4% | -4.8% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 1.15 | 1.16 | +1.2% | +2.5% | +3.6% | +2.1% | +0.7% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 2.88 | 3.03 | +5.3% | +2.1% | -0.9% | -3.3% | -5.8% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 2.21 | 2.23 | +0.8% | +1.1% | +1.9% | +0.9% | +2.4% |
| 2024-11-18 beat | 0.81 | 0.83 | +2.7% | -0.3% | -0.1% | +2.4% | -6.0% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 1.05 | 1.08 | +2.8% | -0.3% | -0.9% | +1.6% | +5.4% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 2.61 | 2.85 | +9.2% | -1.1% | -0.7% | -0.9% | -3.5% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 2.05 | 2.08 | +1.6% | +1.3% | +0.1% | +0.9% | +3.5% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | 0.72 | 0.80 | +11.1% | +2.6% | +1.8% | +2.5% | +1.8% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | 0.99 | 0.94 | -5.5% | +1.0% | -2.6% | -1.2% | -2.4% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 2.46 | 2.48 | +0.7% | -1.6% | +4.5% | +0.1% | -2.8% |
| 2023-02-07 miss | 1.92 | 1.91 | -0.6% | +0.6% | -0.4% | +0.4% | -6.3% |
| 2022-11-09 beat | 0.43 | 0.51 | +18.3% | +5.5% | +8.4% | -0.6% | +6.4% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 0.86 | 0.92 | +7.6% | -0.9% | -2.9% | -0.5% | -1.1% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 2.34 | 2.37 | +1.4% | +0.0% | -0.2% | -2.6% | +1.5% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 1.85 | 1.86 | +0.7% | -0.3% | +2.1% | -2.5% | +4.5% |
| 2021-11-10 miss | 0.38 | 0.37 | -3.8% | +1.3% | +0.7% | -2.3% | +2.7% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +6.0% | +0.5% | +1.9% | -0.7% | -3.8% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 2.05 | 2.30 | +12.4% | +0.1% | +0.8% | -2.7% | -2.3% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 1.53 | 1.71 | +11.4% | +0.1% | -1.8% | +5.5% | +5.4% |
| 2020-11-11 beat | 0.51 | 0.53 | +3.5% | -0.8% | -2.0% | -3.7% | +0.8% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | 0.77 | 0.79 | +3.0% | +2.3% | +1.0% | -0.1% | -7.1% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | 1.92 | 1.95 | +1.4% | +1.6% | -0.2% | -1.5% | +10.0% |
| 2020-02-04 beat | 1.46 | 1.47 | +0.4% | -0.6% | +0.9% | -0.3% | -5.9% |
| 2019-11-06 beat | 0.49 | 0.49 | +1.0% | -0.2% | -0.5% | +1.3% | -1.7% |
| 2019-08-07 beat | 0.68 | 0.68 | +0.4% | -0.8% | +1.4% | -0.1% | -1.5% |
| 2019-05-07 beat | 1.71 | 1.82 | +6.7% | -0.5% | -1.5% | +0.0% | +3.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.