AWK chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | +0.3% | 1.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.9% | 2.1% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.1% | 1.8% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +0.6% | 3.7% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 1.55 | 1.61 | +4.0% | +1.4% | -0.9% | -1.5% | +1.1% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 1.09 | 1.01 | -7.4% | +2.4% | -2.7% | -1.7% | -5.7% |
| 2026-02-18 miss | 1.27 | 1.24 | -2.3% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +2.3% | +3.4% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 1.88 | 1.94 | +3.0% | +0.1% | -2.6% | +2.2% | +3.4% |
| 2025-07-30 miss | 1.53 | 1.48 | -3.1% | -0.8% | +0.4% | +3.0% | +2.3% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | 1.07 | 1.05 | -1.5% | -1.4% | -0.4% | -0.7% | -2.7% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 1.12 | 1.22 | +9.2% | +1.7% | +0.6% | +4.2% | +9.7% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 1.84 | 1.80 | -2.1% | +1.6% | +1.8% | -3.8% | -1.8% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | 1.46 | 1.42 | -2.4% | +0.4% | +1.5% | +0.1% | -1.0% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | 0.98 | 0.95 | -2.9% | -1.1% | +0.7% | +6.7% | +3.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.