BAM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +1.4% | 2.4% | 62% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.8% | 2.1% | 69% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.3% | 1.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | +2.9% | +2.0% | 4.6% | 75% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.44 | 0.44 | +0.4% | +2.2% | +1.3% | +3.6% | -4.4% |
| 2026-05-08 beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +3.4% | +0.8% | +2.0% | -3.7% | -5.2% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 0.44 | 0.47 | +7.6% | +2.3% | +4.9% | +5.4% | -7.3% |
| 2025-11-07 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +2.4% | +0.5% | -0.5% | -2.8% | +2.7% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 0.39 | 0.38 | -1.9% | +0.4% | +2.3% | -0.7% | -7.4% |
| 2025-05-06 miss | 0.41 | 0.40 | -1.5% | -2.0% | +2.1% | +6.0% | +2.8% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +2.4% | +0.1% | -1.0% | +9.4% | -14.9% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +7.1% | +1.5% | +3.0% | +5.5% | +5.0% |
| 2024-08-07 miss | 0.35 | 0.34 | -2.8% | +0.8% | -3.9% | +5.8% | +5.8% |
| 2024-05-08 | 0.34 | 0.34 | — | -1.8% | -1.6% | +2.2% | -3.1% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +6.3% | +1.2% | +0.2% | +1.0% | +5.7% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +10.9% | +0.0% | -1.5% | +0.0% | +14.0% |
| 2023-08-09 beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +0.6% | -0.8% | +1.5% | +1.0% | +4.4% |
| 2023-05-10 beat | 0.34 | 0.34 | +1.0% | -0.1% | -2.9% | -2.2% | -1.5% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +7.8% | +2.6% | +2.2% | +2.7% | -8.8% |
| 2023-01-12 beat | 0.31 | 0.31 | +0.1% | -1.3% | +3.0% | +1.6% | +11.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.