BBT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.9% | 4.6% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | +0.4% | 2.5% | 55% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.4% | 1.7% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +0.3% | 7.3% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.77 | 0.77 | +0.4% | +1.5% | +2.6% | +3.2% | +2.5% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 0.84 | 0.70 | -16.5% | -6.2% | -9.0% | +1.2% | +0.2% |
| 2026-01-28 miss | 0.79 | 0.79 | -0.4% | -1.2% | +2.7% | +7.1% | +4.5% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 0.74 | 0.44 | -40.5% | -0.3% | +4.3% | +8.8% | +7.3% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.59 | 0.69 | +16.6% | +1.6% | -1.8% | -4.3% | +3.4% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.48 | 0.56 | +15.9% | +0.0% | +3.2% | +0.0% | -1.0% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 0.55 | 0.60 | +9.4% | +1.2% | +2.0% | +4.6% | -3.5% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +5.1% | -0.8% | -0.7% | -0.3% | +14.4% |
| 2024-07-18 beat | 0.52 | 0.55 | +6.8% | -1.0% | +0.6% | +3.2% | -2.1% |
| 2024-04-18 beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +4.3% | -0.1% | +2.2% | +5.3% | +11.8% |
| 2024-01-25 miss | 0.49 | 0.47 | -3.3% | +2.0% | +0.4% | -5.2% | -9.9% |
| 2023-10-20 beat | 0.49 | 0.50 | +1.6% | +1.3% | -6.8% | +3.5% | +14.6% |
| 2023-07-20 miss | 0.57 | 0.55 | -4.2% | -10.0% | -6.9% | +1.3% | -1.4% |
| 2023-04-20 miss | 0.64 | 0.63 | -1.6% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -8.7% | -11.3% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 0.64 | 0.64 | +0.8% | +8.2% | +10.3% | -0.3% | -5.4% |
| 2022-10-20 beat | 0.59 | 0.62 | +5.1% | -1.4% | -4.4% | +5.2% | +10.6% |
| 2022-07-20 beat | 0.47 | 0.51 | +9.0% | +0.2% | +5.7% | +2.2% | +10.8% |
| 2022-04-20 beat | 0.41 | 0.43 | +5.9% | +0.6% | -0.5% | -12.4% | -12.9% |
| 2022-01-20 miss | 0.42 | 0.42 | -0.4% | +1.1% | +2.3% | -4.0% | +2.4% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 0.38 | 0.53 | +38.7% | -1.4% | +1.2% | -1.1% | +1.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.