BBT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.0% | +0.4% | 4.5% | 52% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.2% | 2.5% | 37% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 1.6% | 55% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | -0.3% | 7.5% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.77 | 0.77 | +0.4% | +1.5% | +2.6% | +3.2% | +2.5% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 0.84 | 0.70 | -16.5% | -6.2% | -9.0% | +1.2% | +0.2% |
| 2026-01-28 miss | 0.79 | 0.79 | -0.4% | -1.2% | +2.7% | +7.1% | +4.5% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 0.74 | 0.44 | -40.5% | -0.3% | +4.3% | +8.8% | +7.3% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.59 | 0.69 | +16.6% | +1.6% | -1.8% | -4.3% | +3.4% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.48 | 0.56 | +15.9% | +0.0% | +3.2% | +0.0% | -1.0% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 0.55 | 0.60 | +9.4% | +1.2% | +2.0% | +4.6% | -3.5% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +5.1% | -0.8% | -0.7% | -0.3% | +14.4% |
| 2024-07-18 beat | 0.52 | 0.55 | +6.8% | -1.0% | +0.6% | +3.2% | -2.1% |
| 2024-04-18 beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +4.3% | -0.1% | +2.2% | +5.3% | +11.8% |
| 2024-01-25 miss | 0.49 | 0.47 | -3.3% | +2.0% | +0.4% | -5.2% | -9.9% |
| 2023-10-20 beat | 0.49 | 0.50 | +1.6% | +1.3% | -6.8% | +3.5% | +14.6% |
| 2023-07-20 miss | 0.57 | 0.55 | -4.2% | -10.0% | -6.9% | +1.3% | -1.4% |
| 2023-04-20 miss | 0.64 | 0.63 | -1.6% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -8.7% | -11.3% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 0.64 | 0.64 | +0.8% | +8.2% | +10.3% | -0.3% | -5.4% |
| 2022-10-20 beat | 0.59 | 0.62 | +5.1% | -1.4% | -4.4% | +5.2% | +10.6% |
| 2022-07-20 beat | 0.47 | 0.51 | +9.0% | +0.2% | +5.7% | +2.2% | +10.8% |
| 2022-04-20 beat | 0.41 | 0.43 | +5.9% | +0.6% | -0.5% | -12.4% | -12.9% |
| 2022-01-20 miss | 0.42 | 0.42 | -0.4% | +1.1% | +2.3% | -4.0% | +2.4% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 0.38 | 0.53 | +38.7% | -1.4% | +1.2% | -1.1% | +1.8% |
| 2021-07-21 beat | 0.29 | 0.44 | +50.0% | +0.0% | +4.9% | -4.0% | -11.0% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 0.22 | 0.32 | +43.3% | +3.0% | +2.9% | +6.7% | +19.0% |
| 2021-01-25 beat | 0.18 | 0.28 | +52.7% | +0.0% | -5.2% | -5.4% | +14.7% |
| 2020-10-26 beat | 0.13 | 0.52 | +313.6% | +11.8% | +12.2% | +2.6% | +32.6% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | -0.17 | -0.13 | +23.7% | -4.5% | -10.0% | -1.3% | -4.1% |
| 2020-05-04 miss | 0.51 | -0.07 | -113.7% | -4.2% | -16.3% | -20.0% | -7.6% |
| 2020-01-27 beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +1.8% | +5.9% | -1.9% | -2.5% | -15.4% |
| 2019-10-28 miss | 0.46 | 0.46 | -0.9% | -1.6% | +0.9% | +5.0% | +2.6% |
| 2019-07-23 beat | 0.64 | 0.65 | +1.6% | -1.2% | +4.2% | +2.2% | -7.5% |
| 2019-04-29 | 0.60 | 0.60 | — | +2.0% | -1.4% | -1.0% | -1.4% |
| 2019-01-23 miss | 0.66 | 0.63 | -4.5% | -3.2% | -4.5% | +1.5% | +15.4% |
| 2018-10-17 beat | 0.70 | 0.70 | +0.2% | -0.5% | -4.6% | -8.4% | -5.1% |
| 2018-07-18 beat | 0.70 | 0.74 | +6.2% | +2.5% | +0.4% | +0.5% | +1.7% |
| 2018-04-23 beat | 0.64 | 0.65 | +1.9% | -0.4% | -1.2% | -1.4% | +2.7% |
| 2018-01-25 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +2.2% | +0.9% | -1.3% | +0.7% | -1.6% |
| 2017-10-19 beat | 0.58 | 0.59 | +1.7% | +1.3% | +0.8% | -0.4% | -5.8% |
| 2017-07-19 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.1% | -0.4% | -0.5% | +2.3% | -8.5% |
| 2017-04-24 beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +1.5% | +0.7% | +3.8% | +1.1% | -0.7% |
| 2017-01-30 miss | 0.57 | 0.56 | -2.3% | +4.1% | -0.4% | -0.3% | +0.4% |
| 2016-10-24 beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +5.2% | +3.7% | +2.6% | +1.9% | +15.2% |
| 2016-07-25 beat | 0.54 | 0.54 | +0.4% | +0.4% | -5.0% | -2.5% | +3.1% |
| 2016-04-25 beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +1.9% | +1.0% | -0.8% | -3.4% | -0.4% |
| 2016-01-25 beat | 0.54 | 0.54 | +0.9% | +0.3% | +3.2% | -0.4% | -2.3% |
| 2015-10-26 beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +3.9% | +1.6% | +3.3% | +0.2% | +4.2% |
| 2015-07-22 beat | 0.50 | 0.51 | +2.5% | +0.7% | -1.2% | -0.5% | -3.5% |
| 2015-04-27 beat | 0.46 | 0.50 | +7.9% | +3.5% | +1.1% | -2.1% | -1.9% |
| 2015-01-26 beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +2.1% | -2.0% | -0.8% | +3.5% | +7.4% |
| 2014-10-27 beat | 0.44 | 0.46 | +3.8% | +1.1% | +4.8% | +0.1% | +2.8% |
| 2014-07-23 beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +4.8% | +0.7% | +4.7% | +2.1% | +3.5% |
| 2014-04-28 beat | 0.40 | 0.42 | +5.0% | +0.7% | -2.1% | -3.5% | -3.9% |
| 2014-01-27 beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +5.3% | +0.5% | -0.9% | -1.2% | +1.5% |
| 2013-10-28 beat | 0.41 | 0.43 | +4.9% | -0.3% | +0.8% | -4.0% | +4.0% |
| 2013-07-24 miss | 0.55 | 0.48 | -12.7% | -2.9% | -3.4% | -1.0% | -4.1% |
| 2013-04-29 miss | 0.55 | 0.54 | -0.9% | -0.3% | +0.8% | +4.3% | +5.1% |
| 2013-01-28 | 0.54 | 0.54 | — | +0.5% | -0.7% | +0.2% | -1.0% |
| 2012-10-23 beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +6.1% | +1.0% | +1.3% | -1.3% | -3.3% |
| 2012-07-24 | 0.47 | 0.47 | — | +1.6% | +1.2% | +3.0% | +1.7% |
| 2012-04-24 beat | 0.45 | 0.45 | +0.8% | +0.4% | -0.7% | -1.6% | -3.4% |
| 2012-01-31 | 0.44 | 0.44 | — | -0.5% | +3.6% | +0.5% | -9.8% |
| 2011-10-25 beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +3.2% | -0.2% | -2.6% | -4.4% | -8.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.