BCC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.9% | +1.6% | 6.9% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +1.4% | +1.5% | 4.8% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.5% | 1.8% | 65% |
| 5-day | +1.4% | +1.3% | 6.4% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 beat | 1.21 | 1.63 | +34.9% | -0.3% | +4.2% | -1.1% | -11.8% |
| 2026-05-04 beat | 0.43 | 0.50 | +17.2% | +2.2% | -3.0% | -5.8% | -5.1% |
| 2026-02-23 beat | 0.12 | 0.24 | +108.7% | -1.2% | +7.6% | -9.1% | -13.9% |
| 2025-11-03 miss | 0.69 | 0.58 | -15.7% | +5.3% | +3.0% | -1.1% | +5.5% |
| 2025-08-04 miss | 1.74 | 1.64 | -5.8% | -0.5% | +4.9% | -2.9% | +0.5% |
| 2025-05-05 miss | 1.29 | 1.06 | -17.5% | -0.5% | -5.4% | +7.1% | +0.0% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 1.78 | 1.78 | +0.1% | +3.2% | -8.1% | -3.1% | -3.5% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 2.33 | 2.33 | +0.2% | -4.7% | +3.2% | +1.9% | +4.3% |
| 2024-08-05 beat | 2.69 | 2.84 | +5.7% | -3.1% | +4.4% | -0.7% | -3.7% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 2.28 | 2.61 | +14.7% | -1.2% | -6.2% | +4.3% | +0.8% |
| 2024-02-20 miss | 2.51 | 2.44 | -2.9% | -2.8% | -7.9% | +6.8% | +21.6% |
| 2023-10-30 beat | 3.36 | 3.58 | +6.4% | -0.1% | -0.2% | +10.5% | +16.6% |
| 2023-07-31 beat | 2.42 | 3.67 | +51.6% | -1.2% | +3.2% | +3.8% | +2.5% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 1.63 | 2.43 | +49.1% | +1.1% | +3.7% | +4.6% | +10.0% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 2.92 | 2.95 | +1.2% | +0.6% | +6.2% | -4.6% | -17.3% |
| 2022-10-31 beat | 4.13 | 5.52 | +33.7% | +2.6% | +0.2% | -0.3% | +10.4% |
| 2022-08-01 beat | 4.71 | 5.49 | +16.6% | -1.5% | -4.4% | -0.5% | -8.2% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 6.71 | 7.61 | +13.4% | -0.8% | -6.9% | +4.4% | +11.8% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 2.25 | 4.26 | +89.8% | +0.0% | -20.9% | +28.0% | +10.4% |
| 2021-11-01 beat | 2.16 | 2.31 | +7.1% | +0.1% | +4.6% | +11.8% | +7.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.