BCC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +3.1% | 5.6% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -1.2% | 2.9% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.1% | 1.7% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.7% | +1.6% | 5.3% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 beat | 1.21 | 1.63 | +34.9% | -0.3% | +4.2% | -1.1% | -11.8% |
| 2026-05-04 beat | 0.43 | 0.50 | +17.2% | +2.2% | -3.0% | -5.8% | -5.1% |
| 2026-02-23 beat | 0.12 | 0.24 | +108.7% | -1.2% | +7.6% | -9.1% | -13.9% |
| 2025-11-03 miss | 0.69 | 0.58 | -15.7% | +5.3% | +3.0% | -1.1% | +5.5% |
| 2025-08-04 miss | 1.74 | 1.64 | -5.8% | -0.5% | +4.9% | -2.9% | +0.5% |
| 2025-05-05 miss | 1.29 | 1.06 | -17.5% | -0.5% | -5.4% | +7.1% | +0.0% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 1.78 | 1.78 | +0.1% | +3.2% | -8.1% | -3.1% | -3.5% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 2.33 | 2.33 | +0.2% | -4.7% | +3.2% | +1.9% | +4.3% |
| 2024-08-05 beat | 2.69 | 2.84 | +5.7% | -3.1% | +4.4% | -0.7% | -3.7% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 2.28 | 2.61 | +14.7% | -1.2% | -6.2% | +4.3% | +0.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.