BDN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -0.8% | 4.8% | 37% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.1% | 2.3% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.6% | 2.3% | 57% |
| 5-day | -1.0% | -0.8% | 6.9% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 miss | -0.17 | -0.18 | -6.9% | -0.7% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -1.3% |
| 2026-04-22 miss | -0.21 | -0.28 | -35.4% | -2.7% | +0.3% | +3.4% | +2.4% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | -0.23 | -0.21 | +8.8% | +2.5% | +11.7% | -2.5% | -2.9% |
| 2025-10-22 miss | -0.12 | -0.15 | -26.9% | +0.3% | -4.2% | -4.9% | -6.2% |
| 2025-07-23 miss | -0.10 | -0.15 | -49.2% | -2.5% | -4.6% | -3.1% | -0.5% |
| 2025-04-22 miss | -0.12 | -0.18 | -48.6% | +8.0% | +2.1% | -0.3% | +4.5% |
| 2025-02-04 miss | -0.06 | -0.28 | -353.7% | -5.4% | -5.0% | -4.3% | -8.3% |
| 2024-10-22 miss | -0.09 | -0.23 | -147.5% | -5.9% | -13.6% | -2.8% | +2.2% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | -0.10 | 0.17 | +263.2% | -1.4% | -3.7% | +7.7% | +9.0% |
| 2024-04-17 miss | -0.09 | -0.10 | -12.2% | +2.8% | -0.7% | +3.8% | +13.4% |
| 2024-02-01 miss | -0.06 | -0.29 | -385.5% | -1.8% | -2.0% | -4.4% | +0.2% |
| 2023-10-24 miss | -0.06 | -0.13 | -105.7% | +1.5% | -3.6% | -1.6% | +7.1% |
| 2023-07-25 miss | -0.06 | -0.08 | -35.5% | +4.2% | +9.1% | -1.2% | -3.5% |
| 2023-04-19 beat | -0.04 | -0.04 | +10.0% | +0.7% | -5.9% | -7.0% | -12.3% |
| 2023-02-01 beat | 0.06 | 0.17 | +186.6% | +6.3% | +9.4% | -7.6% | -17.7% |
| 2022-10-20 beat | — | 0.08 | +1800.2% | +5.4% | +2.8% | +4.8% | +2.2% |
| 2022-07-25 miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -24.3% | +0.0% | -3.8% | -2.3% | -10.6% |
| 2022-04-20 beat | — | 0.03 | +629.9% | +1.5% | +0.1% | -4.9% | -17.3% |
| 2022-02-02 beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +50.0% | +1.4% | -1.8% | +0.7% | +2.7% |
| 2021-10-25 miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -50.0% | -2.1% | -2.4% | -0.7% | +6.5% |
| 2021-07-26 miss | 0.01 | -0.01 | -167.1% | -1.4% | -0.9% | -2.7% | +0.3% |
| 2021-04-21 beat | 0.03 | 0.03 | +9.6% | +0.8% | -1.0% | +4.0% | +6.0% |
| 2021-02-02 miss | 0.03 | 0.02 | -31.3% | +0.1% | +1.6% | +5.5% | +15.7% |
| 2020-10-21 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +43.0% | -0.1% | +1.2% | -11.6% | +10.6% |
| 2020-07-22 beat | -0.01 | 0.02 | +317.0% | +1.0% | +1.8% | -1.7% | -1.7% |
| 2020-04-22 | — | 0.03 | — | -2.0% | +0.0% | +14.6% | -5.3% |
| 2020-01-29 beat | 0.03 | 0.05 | +53.0% | +0.0% | -3.0% | +2.3% | -9.2% |
| 2019-10-17 miss | 0.05 | 0.02 | -49.6% | -0.7% | -0.7% | +1.9% | +4.9% |
| 2019-07-22 miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -19.7% | -0.9% | +1.3% | +2.2% | -1.0% |
| 2019-04-24 miss | 0.07 | 0.02 | -78.6% | -1.8% | -1.4% | -0.1% | -1.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.