BEKE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | +2.2% | 9.2% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.7% | 4.7% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.9% | 5.5% | 55% |
| 5-day | +2.5% | +2.0% | 13.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 beat | 2.12 | 2.85 | +34.5% | +5.6% | +4.5% | +3.2% | — |
| 2026-05-19 beat | 0.91 | 1.42 | +55.4% | +5.6% | +5.2% | -11.2% | -20.4% |
| 2026-03-16 miss | 0.74 | 0.46 | -37.5% | -1.4% | +1.0% | -8.8% | -3.9% |
| 2025-11-10 beat | 1.10 | 1.12 | +1.5% | +4.2% | +3.4% | +3.3% | +5.5% |
| 2025-08-26 beat | 1.53 | 1.55 | +1.1% | -3.1% | -1.3% | -0.6% | +4.1% |
| 2025-05-15 beat | 1.02 | 1.19 | +16.2% | -5.4% | -5.3% | -4.4% | +0.2% |
| 2025-03-18 miss | 1.83 | 1.14 | -37.8% | -5.7% | -7.3% | -12.4% | -16.8% |
| 2024-11-21 beat | 1.51 | 1.53 | +1.1% | -4.8% | -1.2% | -5.7% | -7.9% |
| 2024-08-12 beat | 1.52 | 2.28 | +50.2% | +11.9% | +5.5% | +2.9% | -4.7% |
| 2024-05-23 beat | 0.77 | 1.18 | +53.7% | -4.1% | -10.0% | -0.1% | -10.1% |
| 2024-03-14 beat | 1.36 | 1.44 | +5.8% | -0.1% | -2.5% | +0.1% | -7.6% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | 0.85 | 1.80 | +110.8% | +2.5% | +1.0% | +6.5% | +1.4% |
| 2023-08-31 beat | 1.30 | 1.96 | +50.9% | +10.7% | +9.8% | -3.1% | -9.9% |
| 2023-05-18 beat | 1.72 | 2.92 | +69.9% | +1.8% | -8.2% | +1.4% | +3.2% |
| 2023-03-16 beat | 0.56 | 1.29 | +128.5% | +3.4% | +5.2% | +3.8% | +0.2% |
| 2022-11-30 beat | 0.91 | 1.57 | +72.3% | +5.9% | +12.0% | -5.4% | -17.5% |
| 2022-08-23 beat | -1.43 | -0.52 | +63.7% | +2.3% | +7.4% | +5.8% | -0.4% |
| 2022-05-31 beat | -0.33 | 0.02 | +106.1% | +9.2% | +16.6% | +11.9% | +34.0% |
| 2022-03-09 beat | -0.43 | 0.04 | +109.3% | -20.8% | -23.9% | +17.0% | +38.4% |
| 2021-11-08 miss | -0.27 | -0.75 | -173.0% | +4.4% | +10.4% | +22.5% | +13.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.